Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 119
... growth in CO2 emissions during this century would exceed that of the last . Economists now see a generally more complex picture ( Nordhaus , 1994 ) . During the last 10 years , worldwide CO2 emis- sions have departed markedly from the ...
... growth in CO2 emissions during this century would exceed that of the last . Economists now see a generally more complex picture ( Nordhaus , 1994 ) . During the last 10 years , worldwide CO2 emis- sions have departed markedly from the ...
Page 122
... growth was too slow for any effects to be seen above the noise . Since that time , and as predicted , the analysis of gas bubbles in the ice cores of the Antarctic have fixed this 1890 value with greater precision but we are still left ...
... growth was too slow for any effects to be seen above the noise . Since that time , and as predicted , the analysis of gas bubbles in the ice cores of the Antarctic have fixed this 1890 value with greater precision but we are still left ...
Page 125
... growth has not only decreased but the actual curve has developed a definite concavity towards the time axis . The source of this atmospheric methane has always been hard to pin down . Rice fields , cattle , termites and the like have ...
... growth has not only decreased but the actual curve has developed a definite concavity towards the time axis . The source of this atmospheric methane has always been hard to pin down . Rice fields , cattle , termites and the like have ...
Page 128
... growth of atmospheric CO2 for the last one hundred years as a given and use it to predict the future growth at the same rate . Since we know that the greenhouse effect of CO2 will increase only logarithmically with the concentration ...
... growth of atmospheric CO2 for the last one hundred years as a given and use it to predict the future growth at the same rate . Since we know that the greenhouse effect of CO2 will increase only logarithmically with the concentration ...
Page 151
... growth in the population , major construction projects , a significant expansion in arts and culture , all indicate that society is prosperous . If the population is expanding , food must be plentiful , disease cannot be overwhelming ...
... growth in the population , major construction projects , a significant expansion in arts and culture , all indicate that society is prosperous . If the population is expanding , food must be plentiful , disease cannot be overwhelming ...
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adaptation aerosols AGBM agencies agriculture analysis anthropogenic areas atmosphere biomass carbon dioxide century climate models climate system CO₂ emissions coastal communications concentrations Convention costs Dana Rohrabacher decades developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors forestry forests fossil fuel future gases Gigagrams Global Change Research global climate models global warming greenhouse effect greenhouse gas emissions impacts implementation important improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issue land methane mitigation natural NIERENBERG ocean OECD options Panel Parties period policies and measures population potential predictions production projected radiative forcing range reduce regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific scientists sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations sources studies Summary for Policymakers technical technologies temperature transport uncertainties understanding United USGCRP variability weather
Popular passages
Page 354 - Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within a time frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner.
Page 315 - Convention related to financial resources and transfer of technology and will take fully into account the fact that economic and social development and eradication of poverty are the first and overriding priorities of the developing country Parties.
Page 662 - ... climate change and mitigate its adverse effects, where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing such measures, taking into account that policies and measures to deal with climate change should be cost-effective so as to ensure global benefits at the lowest possible cost. 'To achieve this, such policies and measures should take into account different socio-economic contexts, be comprehensive, cover all...
Page 349 - Our ability to quantify the human influence on global climate is currently limited because the expected signal is still emerging from the noise of natural variability, and because there are uncertainties in key factors. These include the magnitude and patterns of longterm...
Page 662 - In order to protect the environment, the precautionary approach shall be widely applied by States according to their capabilities. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent environmental degradation.
Page 912 - The ultimate objective of the Convention is to achieve the 'stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate...
Page 681 - Affirming that responses to climate change should be coordinated with social and economic development in an integrated manner with a view to avoiding adverse impacts on the latter, taking into full account the legitimate priority needs of developing countries for the achievement of sustained economic growth and the eradication of poverty...
Page 667 - desertification' means land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climatic variations and human activities...
Page 234 - Department of Defense Department of Energy Department of Health and Human Services...
Page 349 - Nevertheless, the balance of evidence suggests that there is a discernible human influence on global climate