Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 31
... century " -in other words , it was predicting too much warming . They did find that model " B " , which appears to calculate only 1.7 ° C of warming , was consistent with the climate of the last forty to fifty years . ( 2。 ) ວ ຕ ວ ...
... century " -in other words , it was predicting too much warming . They did find that model " B " , which appears to calculate only 1.7 ° C of warming , was consistent with the climate of the last forty to fifty years . ( 2。 ) ວ ຕ ວ ...
Page 37
... century . Therefore the last sentence should be struck . Page 6 , lines 2-4 . Combining satellite and surface data to reformulate SST is an interesting idea . You therefore should also attempt to combine the MSU and surface records , as ...
... century . Therefore the last sentence should be struck . Page 6 , lines 2-4 . Combining satellite and surface data to reformulate SST is an interesting idea . You therefore should also attempt to combine the MSU and surface records , as ...
Page 39
... century . At a warming rate of .2 to .35 / decade , the temperature rise to then is 1.0 to 1.8 ° , not the " between 2 and 4 ° warmer " given in line 13. Probably best to eliminate the statement on line 13 . Lines 37-38 . The exact same ...
... century . At a warming rate of .2 to .35 / decade , the temperature rise to then is 1.0 to 1.8 ° , not the " between 2 and 4 ° warmer " given in line 13. Probably best to eliminate the statement on line 13 . Lines 37-38 . The exact same ...
Page 49
... century is not unambig- uously attributable to the greenhouse effect . Okay ? There are alter- native explanations . My opinion is that there are virtually no credible counter- hypotheses . Natural variability is often assumed or ...
... century is not unambig- uously attributable to the greenhouse effect . Okay ? There are alter- native explanations . My opinion is that there are virtually no credible counter- hypotheses . Natural variability is often assumed or ...
Page 50
... century is ascribable to human - caused greenhouse warming . I cannot say that . I just say that there is no plausible hypothesis that is nearly as credible . Mr. ROHRABACHER . So you are saying that it is most likely that- Dr. MAHLMAN ...
... century is ascribable to human - caused greenhouse warming . I cannot say that . I just say that there is no plausible hypothesis that is nearly as credible . Mr. ROHRABACHER . So you are saying that it is most likely that- Dr. MAHLMAN ...
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adaptation aerosols AGBM agencies agriculture analysis anthropogenic areas atmosphere biomass carbon dioxide century climate models climate system CO₂ emissions coastal communications concentrations Convention costs Dana Rohrabacher decades developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors forestry forests fossil fuel future gases Gigagrams Global Change Research global climate models global warming greenhouse effect greenhouse gas emissions impacts implementation important improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issue land methane mitigation natural NIERENBERG ocean OECD options Panel Parties period policies and measures population potential predictions production projected radiative forcing range reduce regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific scientists sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations sources studies Summary for Policymakers technical technologies temperature transport uncertainties understanding United USGCRP variability weather
Popular passages
Page 354 - Convention, stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. Such a level should be achieved within a time frame sufficient to allow ecosystems to adapt naturally to climate change, to ensure that food production is not threatened and to enable economic development to proceed in a sustainable manner.
Page 315 - Convention related to financial resources and transfer of technology and will take fully into account the fact that economic and social development and eradication of poverty are the first and overriding priorities of the developing country Parties.
Page 662 - ... climate change and mitigate its adverse effects, where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty should not be used as a reason for postponing such measures, taking into account that policies and measures to deal with climate change should be cost-effective so as to ensure global benefits at the lowest possible cost. 'To achieve this, such policies and measures should take into account different socio-economic contexts, be comprehensive, cover all...
Page 349 - Our ability to quantify the human influence on global climate is currently limited because the expected signal is still emerging from the noise of natural variability, and because there are uncertainties in key factors. These include the magnitude and patterns of longterm...
Page 662 - In order to protect the environment, the precautionary approach shall be widely applied by States according to their capabilities. Where there are threats of serious or irreversible damage, lack of full scientific certainty shall not be used as a reason for postponing cost-effective measures to prevent environmental degradation.
Page 912 - The ultimate objective of the Convention is to achieve the 'stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate...
Page 681 - Affirming that responses to climate change should be coordinated with social and economic development in an integrated manner with a view to avoiding adverse impacts on the latter, taking into full account the legitimate priority needs of developing countries for the achievement of sustained economic growth and the eradication of poverty...
Page 667 - desertification' means land degradation in arid, semi-arid and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climatic variations and human activities...
Page 234 - Department of Defense Department of Energy Department of Health and Human Services...
Page 349 - Nevertheless, the balance of evidence suggests that there is a discernible human influence on global climate