SINK7TO3.WP (B) The President's October Accounting System 2008-2012 Emissions Calculation = [Total emissions of CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC, Recall that the two plans entail different accounting systems for the emissions that The Kyoto commitment: [Total emissions of all six gases] - [net changes of carbon stocks from certain Since the sink accounting system under the Kyoto Protocol is not yet [Total emissions of all six gases) - 0 < 1484 President's plan: [Total emissions of all six gases] - [net changes of carbon stocks from all The change in carbon stocks from all U.S. forests in 2010 is estimated by [Total emissions of all six gases] - 227 < 1301, or equivalently, Then the comparison question is: how much lower is 1484 than 1538? Algebraically, the percentage difference, x, can be expressed: 1484 = (1-x)1538 => 1484 is 3% below 1538. What if accounting for sinks under the Protocol offsets our emissions, as we expect Page 3 Dry Natura! Gaa. Nuclear Power. Coal... 2000 2005 2005 2005 2005 2010 2010 2010 2010 2015 2015 2015 2015 2020 2020 2020 2020 (3) (2) (3) (4) 1(3) (3) (4) Le (3) (3) (0) 13) ג נג Crude Oil & Lease Condensate. |13.06 23.06 13.07 13.07|12.33 12.33 12.33 12.26|11.60 11.00 11.77 11.56 11.07 11.05 10.97 10.61/10.33 10.31 10.15 9.76 Natural Gas Plant Liquide. | 2.39 2.36 2.37 2.36 2.63 2.64 2.66 2.56 2.93 2.94 3.02 3.041 3.28 3.13 3.24 3.17 3.30 3.29 3.40 3.25 120.85 20.76 20.75 20.60|22.03 22.90 23.30 22.26/25.30 25.35 26.09 26.19 26.72 26.00 27.84 27.16/20.12 20.09 20.92 27.72 124.33 24.42 24.42 24.21|25.52 25.52 24.99 24.22|26.50 26.33 23.52 19.25|27.64 27.10 23.54 18.96120.37 20.06 24.25 29.43 7.36 7.36 7.36 7.361 6.07 6.87 6.07 6.871 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 5.13 5.12 5.12 5.121 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.02 6.02 4.04 6.431 7.22 7.11 7.17 7.34 7.43 7.42 7.97 8.05 7.86 0.00 0.89 9.06 0.19 0.40 9.32 9.83 1.56 .56 .36 .56 .55 .54 .54 .34 .40 .40 .55 .60 .60 .03 1.01 .92 .09 .98 1.25 1.37 175.36 75.35 75.37 74.99177.04 77.90 77.65 76.04100.79 80.67 79.28 75.04|02.32 02.19 10.63 74.90|03.29 03.29 81.37 75.44 Renewable Energy Other Total 19.10 19.19 19.15 19.11/21.98 22.09 22.10 21.91|23.18 23.31 23.16 22.96|24.35 24.65 24.34 24.09|25.40 25.71 25.34 24.97 4.39 4.24 4.27 4.40 5.55 5.51 5.52 5.191 7.56 7.30 7.10 5.62 0.01 0.21 7.60 5.89 9.50 9.02 0.24 6.19 4.21 4.23 4.22 4.21 4.44 4.43 4.52 4.42 4.70 4.72 4.87 4.85 5.06 5.10 3.30 5.20 5.36 5.39 5.74 5.53 1.62 .62 .62 .63 .50 .sa .50 .60 .57 .57 .59 .66.54 .54 .57 .64 .56 .54 .50 .66 20.40 20.31 20.27 20.35|32.55 32.61 32.73 32.12136.01 35.90 35.72 34.08 30.77 38.51 37.89 35.91|40.82 40.67 39.90 37.35 1 .20 1.73 1.73 1.74 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.73 1.72| 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.79 1.06 1.02 1.02 1.00 1.64 1.53 1.59 1.66 .26 .20 .20 .20 .20 .20 .201 .29 .29 .39 .29 .30 .30 .30 .30 .32 .32 .32 .32 2.41 2.41 2.41 2.41 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.64 2.04 2.04 2.04 2.04| 3:53 3.03 3.03 3.031 3.33 3.23 3.23 1.23 4:41 4.41 4.42 4.43| 4.65 4.65 4.66 4.65 4.91 4.84 4.0 4.83 5.29 5.24 8.15 .49 .Q .63 .461 .05 .OL .03 -.071 .24 .39 -.27.31 -.09 .33 8.23 5.20 5.09 5.25 5.22 .00.07 -.00 .00 -.05 Het Imports Petroleum. 130.37 30.38 30.35 38.26141.38 42.41 41.43 40.69/44.37 44.37 43.72 41.92146.21 46.20 45.42 42.87147.69 47.70 46.82 43.85 124.76 24.69 24.60 24.51|26.93 27.00 27.28 26.34|29.57 29.63 30.53 30.56|31.32 31.53 32.76 31.97|33.00 32.99 34.16 32.75 22.13 22.22 22.23 22.01|23.11 23.10 22.63 21.03|23.91 23.73 20.91 16.71 24.07 24.41 20.70 16.20 25.40 25.09 23.20 16.49 7.36 7.36 7.36 7.361 6.87 6.07 6.07 6.87 6.36 6.36 6.36 6.36 5.12 5.12 5.42 5.121 4.09 4.09 4.09 4.09 6.02 6.02 6.00 6.04 7.12 7.12 7.17 7.35 7.43 7.43 7.99 0.071 7.00 0.02 0.92 9.06 0.22 0.53 9.35 9.86 .411 .37 .37 .37 .37 .40 .39 .42 .46 .01 .42 .43 .46.43 .43 .45 .49 99.0 99.9 99.9 99.4|105.8 105.9 105.4 103.4112.0 111.9 109.9 104.0/115.0 115.7 113.4 105.0|118.0 118.0 116.1 107.5 .41 .41 .41 Į21.84 21.73 21.69 21.79125.80 25.87 25.89 25.37128.97 20.91 20.56 26.88131.30 31.04 30.12 20.10 ̊33.26′ 33.20 31.99 29.50 Prices (1996 dollars per unit) T Carbon Passione (Lons per person) 2000 2000 2000 2000 12005 2005 2005 2005 2010 2010 2010 2010 2015 10 (2) (3) (4) (2) (3) (4) 1032 (2) (3) LOL (3) נו 2015 2015 2016 12020 2020 2020 2020 (6) TOTE (3) 19 וגן 25.0 25.0 25.0 25.7 25.0 25.0 25.0 24.0 24.0 24.7 24.3 23.1 24.6 24.5 24.0 22.7 24.3 24.2 23.8 22.2 77.0 76.9 76.9 76.8 78.7 78.7 78.5 78.201.3 80.8 77.8 74.71 84.0 83.3 79.8 75.7 86.3 85.4 02.1 77.4 1.4 1.4 2.4 1.4 12.4 1.4 1.4 3.4 1.4 1.3 1.3 2.3 3.3 1.3 1.3 2.3 3.3 1.3 2.3 1.3 1201.3 201.8 201.6 199.4/215.6 215.6 212.7 202.4|229.8 228.5 209.1 174.0/247.9 244.5 219.4 179.91366.8 262.9 235.5 190.4 (305.5 306.0 306.8 303.31320.7 320.7 317.6 306.8/337.3 335.4 332.3 273.2|367.9 353.6 324.5 279.6|377.5 373.0 342.6 291.3 12.9 12.9 12.9 13.0 12.9 12.9 12.9 12.8] 13.0 12.0 12.7 12.5 12.7 12.7 12.4 12.4 12.5 12.4 13.3 12.1 | 49.9 49.9 19.9 49.71 $2.1 52.0 52.0 51.21 $4.1 53.9 53.0 50.0 55.5 35.3 54.2 $1.11 55.6 55.3 54.3 30.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.31 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