3 days. Probabilities (expressed as percent chance) that an oilspill starting at a particular location will contact a certain target within

DRAFT

T24 T25 T26 T27 T28 T29 T30 T31 T32 T33 T34 T35 T36 T37 T38 T39 T40 T41 T42 T43 T44 T45 T46 T47 T48
Hypothetical Spill Location

MM S

DRAFT

Table 3. (Continued)

Target

Table 4.

MMS DRAFT

Probabilities (expressed as percent chance) that an oilspill starting
at a particular location will contact a certain target within 10 days.

DRAFT

P10 P11 F12 F13 P14 P15 P16 P17 P18 P19 P20 P21 P22 P23 P24 P25

Hypothetical Spill Location

F8

F'9

1

3

11

11

17

7

n

2

8

7

12

2

n

2

2

8

9

3

Target

C C C C C C

n

ח

ח

n

5

1

n

ח

TONNCONDITIONMCCCTCCC CONCcccccc

MNCC c c c c CNCNCHCC CHNC CCC MCC c c c c C

ח

NY State Waters
NJ State Waters
DEL State Waters
MD State Waters
VA State Waters
NC State Waters
SC State Waters
Historic Sites

C C C C

NCCC c c c c

Note: **

= Greater than 99.5 percent; n

less than 0.5 percent.

Table 4. (Continued)

MM S

DRAFT

Probabilities (expressed as percent chance) that an oilspill starting
at a particular location will contact a certain target within 10 days.

DRAFT

Hypothetical Spill Location

E1

E2

E3

E4

ES

E6

E7

E8

E9

Target

E10 E11 E12 E13 E14 E15 E16 E17 E18 E19 E20 E21 E22 E23 E24 E25

Land

Coastal Waterbirds

Sea-Duck Wintering

Osprey Nesting

Bald Eagle Nesting
Feregr. Falc. Nest.
Peregr. Falc. Migr.
Loghead Turtle Nest.
Ocean Sanctuaries
Coastal Marshes

N. Park, Shore, Rec.
St. Parks, Shores

Nat. Wild. Ref.
St. Wild. & Nat. A.
NoGov. Wild. Nat. A.
Calico Scallop
Right Whale Area
Hump/Fin Whole Feed.
106-Mile Dumpsite
Gulf Stream Seg. A

Gulf Stream Seg. B
Mass-RI State Waters
Gulf Stream Seg. C

NY State Waters
NJ State Waters
DEL State Waters

MD State Waters

VA State Waters
NC State Waters
SC State Waters
Historic Sites

ח

n

..

..

cccccccc

cccccccc C C

C C C C C C C C

CC

CCC

CCCCC

C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C C c

CC CCC

ח

8

27

6

n

ח

ח

Note: ** = Greater than 99.5 percent; n

= less than 0.5 percent.

MM S

DRAFT

Frobabilities (expressed as percent chance) that an oilspill starting at a particular location will contact a certain target within 10 days.

Hypothetical Spill Location

DRAFT

E26 E27 E28 E29 E30 E31 E32 E33 E34 E35 E36 E37 E38 E39 E40 E41 E42 E43 E44 E45 E46 E47 E48 E49 E50

Table 4. (Continued)

Target

Table 4. (Continued)

MM S

DRAF T

Probabilities (expressed as percent chance) that an oilspill starting at a particular location will contact a certain target within 10 days.

Hypothetical Spill Location

DRAFT

Target

E51 E52 T1 T2 T3

T4

TS

ть

17

T8 T9

T10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T15 T16 T17 T18 T19 T20 T21 T22 T23