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" The hypothesis can be rephrased a little more precisely as follows: that expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective probability distribution of outcomes) tend to be distributed, for the same information set, about the prediction of the... "
Prediction or Prophecy?: The Boundaries of Economic Foreknowledge and Their ... - Page 122
by Gregor Betz - 2007 - 280 pages
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Rational expectations and econometric practice. 1

Robert E. Lucas, Thomas J. Sargent - 1981 - 410 pages
...and Hurwicz (1959). 2We show in Section 4 that the hypothesis is consistent with these two phenomena. about the prediction of the theory (or the "objective" probability distributions of outcomes). The hypothesis asserts three things: (1) Information is scarce, and the economic system generally does...
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Models of Bounded Rationality: Empirically grounded economic reason

Herbert Alexander Simon - 1997 - 486 pages
...expectations" hypothesis, whereby, in the words of the author of that hypothesis (Muth, 1961)," ... expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective..."objective" probability distributions of outcomes)." To the best of my knowledge, all of these equations have been conceived in the shelter of armchairs;...
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Individual Forecasting and Aggregate Outcomes: 'Rational Expectations' Examined

Roman Frydman, Edmund S. Phelps - 1986 - 254 pages
...changes that actually take place." Muth goes on to invoke his rational expectations hypothesis, "that the expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective...'objective' probability distributions of outcomes)" and to establish that both the periodic movement of time series displayed in so-called corn-hog cycles...
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Issues in Contemporary Macroeconomics and Distribution

George R. Feiwel - 1985 - 512 pages
...be a more precise fashion: 'Expectations of firms (or more generally, the subjective probability of distribution of outcomes) tend to be distributed,...theory (or the 'objective' probability distributions of outcomes)'(see also Lucas and Sargent, 1981, pp. xvi-iii). Muth (1961, pp. 316-17) states that the...
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A Search for Synthesis in Economic Theory

Ching-Yao Hsieh, Stephen L. Mangum - 1986 - 286 pages
...distribution of outcomes) tend to be distributed, for the same information set, about the predictions of the theory (or the 'objective' probability distributions of outcomes)" (p. 316). More recently, PAVB Swamy, James R. Barth, and PA Tinsley in their paper "The Rational Expectations...
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Methodological Foundations of Macroeconomics: Keynes and Lucas

Alessandro Vercelli - 1991 - 292 pages
...Creative rationality (agent is 'option-maker') Equilibrium Dynamic substantive procedural utopie designing information set. about the prediction of the theory (or the "objective" probability distribution of outcomes)' (Muth, 1961, pp. 319-20). This definition is interpretable in strong or...
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Chaotic Dynamics: Theory and Applications to Economics

Alfredo Medio, Giampaolo Gallo - 1992 - 368 pages
...reference to the original formulation of the rational expectations hypothesis. In Muth's own words, 'the expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective...theory (or the "objective" probability distributions of outcomes)'.21 If expectations were not rational in the sense defined above - so Muth's argument runs...
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Out of the Margin: Feminist Perspectives on Economics

Edith Kuiper, Jolande Sap - 1995 - 328 pages
...generated by the objective world. Describing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis, Muth writes: the expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective..."objective" probability distributions of outcomes). [Muth 1961: 316] Clearly, this understanding of probabilistic knowledge is in line with Cartesian notions...
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Non-Linear Dynamics and Endogenous Cycles

Gilbert Abraham-Frois - 1998 - 514 pages
...reference to the original formulation of the rational expectations hypothesis. In Muth's own words, "the expectations of firms (or, more generally, the subjective..."objective" probability distributions of outcomes)" (see, Muth, 1961, p. 316). If expectations were not rational in the sense defined above - so Muth's...
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Erwartungsbildung ökonomischer Akteure: Eine Explikation auf Basis des ...

Axel C. Miller - 2003 - 384 pages
...subjective probability distribution of outcomes) tend to be distributed, for the same Information sei, about the prediction of the theory (or the 'objective' probability distributions of outcomes)." 357 Sachs/Larrain B. (2001), S. 599. 358 Vgl. Sachs/Larrain B. (2001), S. 599. "' Deutlich macht dies...
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