Determinants of Crime Rates in Latin America and the World: An Empirical AssessmentWorld Bank Publications, 1998 M01 1 - 44 pages A growing concern in most regions of the world is the heightened incidence of criminal and violent behavior, especially in the Latin American and Caribbean Region. This study uses a new data set of crime rates for a large sample of countries to analyze the determinants of national homicide and robbery rates. The authors describe a simple model of "incentives to commit crimes" by estimating several econometric models and utilizing empirical models to draw their conclusions. |
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Page 4
... negative effect on crime rates - see Ehrlich ( 1973 , 545 , and 1996 , 55 ) . Analysts often make a subtle distinction . between the " deterrence " effects of policing and convictions and the " incapacitation " effects of locking - up ...
... negative effect on crime rates - see Ehrlich ( 1973 , 545 , and 1996 , 55 ) . Analysts often make a subtle distinction . between the " deterrence " effects of policing and convictions and the " incapacitation " effects of locking - up ...
Page 5
... negative relationship between crime rates and arrest rates were the product of deter- rence effects , incapacitation , or measurement errors associated with the fact that crime tends to go unreported.5 The author finds that most of this ...
... negative relationship between crime rates and arrest rates were the product of deter- rence effects , incapacitation , or measurement errors associated with the fact that crime tends to go unreported.5 The author finds that most of this ...
Page 15
... has been published on an annual basis since 1986 . Regarding the negative incentives to com- mit crime , we used several variables to proxy for the probability of being caught and convicted when performing an THE DATA 15 IX.
... has been published on an annual basis since 1986 . Regarding the negative incentives to com- mit crime , we used several variables to proxy for the probability of being caught and convicted when performing an THE DATA 15 IX.
Page 19
... negative and significant Table 2. Continued coefficient of this variable tells us that crime tends to decline as the poorest quintile receives higher shares of national income . Income ( i.e. , log of GNP ) per capita seems to be ...
... negative and significant Table 2. Continued coefficient of this variable tells us that crime tends to decline as the poorest quintile receives higher shares of national income . Income ( i.e. , log of GNP ) per capita seems to be ...
Page 20
... negative coefficient in 12 out of the 15 regressions that include this variable , but the coef- ficient is not significant in any specification . In equation ( 3 ) we use the secondary enrollment rate ( or the flow of human capital ) ...
... negative coefficient in 12 out of the 15 regressions that include this variable , but the coef- ficient is not significant in any specification . In equation ( 3 ) we use the secondary enrollment rate ( or the flow of human capital ) ...
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Common terms and phrases
Asia Dummy average Caribbean coefficient Colombia commit a crime common religion conviction rate crime industry criminal activity criminal behavior criminal inertia cross-sectional regressions death penalty decision to commit determinants of crime deterrence effects Developing Countries DiCristina Drug Possession Crimes Drug Producers Dummy Dummy for Developing econometric Ehrlich empirical error term Europe and Central explanatory variables GDP growth rate Gini Coefficient Gini index GNP per Capita Guyana homicide and robbery incidence income inequality increase individual individual's instruments Intentional Homicide Rates joint endogeneity lagged crime rate lagged homicide rate largest number Latin America level of education Loayza Log of GNP measurement errors mis-measurement national crime rates Number of Observations p-value panel data police population Possession Crimes Rate proxy reported crime robbery rates Sargan Secondary Enrollment Rate serially correlated Shahid Javed Burki significant statistically strictly exogenous Sub-Saharan Africa tion under-reporting United Nations unobserved country-specific effects urbanization rate World Bank World Crime Surveys
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