Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for SecurityO.F. Vasiliev, P.H.A.J.M.van Gelder, E.J. Plate, M.V. Bolgov Springer Science & Business Media, 2007 M06 17 - 499 pages This proceedings contains the papers which were presented at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW) on Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security, which was held in Novosibirsk, Russia, from July 11-15, 2005. The workshop fell within the NATO priority research topic on Environmental Security, Disaster Forecast and Prevention. At the present time, the necessity of considerable deepening of our understanding about the nature of extreme and catastrophic natural and man-induced events, in particular hydrologic ones, becomes very topical, as well as the development of advanced methods for their prediction, including estimating probability of their occurrence and a risk related to them. Another aspect of this hydrological problem is reducing of vulnerability of social, economic, and engineering systems to the extreme hydrologic events (EHE) and decreasing of a degree of their effect on such systems. Dealing with these problems needs further refining existing tools for prediction and forecasting of EHE. It can be done essentially through revealing mechanisms of their generation and with use of new approaches and methodologies in related branches of hydrology. This ARW is targeted to contribute to the critical analysis and assessment of current knowledge on a number of the key issues of hydrology, such as: extreme hydrological phenomena, problems of floods, low flows and droughts. In view of significant economic losses and actually wide geographical occurrence, investigation of these hydrological phenomena is of great scientific and practical importance. |
From inside the book
Results 1-5 of 43
Page 18
... failed to have good information that would have allowed them to make wiser choices and therefore the government, and we professionals, should help them out. Economic efficiency arguments may dictate otherwise. Having made this argument ...
... failed to have good information that would have allowed them to make wiser choices and therefore the government, and we professionals, should help them out. Economic efficiency arguments may dictate otherwise. Having made this argument ...
Page 26
... failure of the protection system. Even if the system always does what it is supposed to do, it is. Figure 2. Schematic view of resource use during extreme event Figure 3. Stages of operational risk management Figure 4. The. 26 E.J. PLATE.
... failure of the protection system. Even if the system always does what it is supposed to do, it is. Figure 2. Schematic view of resource use during extreme event Figure 3. Stages of operational risk management Figure 4. The. 26 E.J. PLATE.
Page 27
... failure of technical systems, or due to rare floods which exceed the design flood. This is the preparedness stage of ... failed. Disaster. prevention. Operation Prepared- Relief ness Preparing disaster relief and maintenance Emergency help ...
... failure of technical systems, or due to rare floods which exceed the design flood. This is the preparedness stage of ... failed. Disaster. prevention. Operation Prepared- Relief ness Preparing disaster relief and maintenance Emergency help ...
Page 29
... failure of dikes caused some of the largest flood disasters in the world . The Oder river flood of 1998 ( Bronstert et al . 1999 ) , or the Elbe flood of 2002 ( DKKV , 2003 , Grünewald et al . , 2004 ) come to mind , but even more ...
... failure of dikes caused some of the largest flood disasters in the world . The Oder river flood of 1998 ( Bronstert et al . 1999 ) , or the Elbe flood of 2002 ( DKKV , 2003 , Grünewald et al . , 2004 ) come to mind , but even more ...
Page 32
... failure probability is higher in 50% of all cases. Thus it is advisable, not to use the equality, but to use first and second moment of the distributions to obtain an acceptable safety margin. Some further thoughts on this issue are ...
... failure probability is higher in 50% of all cases. Thus it is advisable, not to use the equality, but to use first and second moment of the distributions to obtain an acceptable safety margin. Some further thoughts on this issue are ...
Contents
21 | |
41 | |
Catastrophic Flood in the Czech Republic | 59 |
Floods in Austria | 81 |
Flood in Poland in Perspective | 96 |
Floods in Siberian River Basins | 111 |
Rain Floods in the Far East and East Siberia | 125 |
Regional Flood Frequency Analysis | 151 |
Hydrological Conditions for Actions on Prevention | 278 |
PART 4 | 299 |
G LAAHA and G BLÖSCHL 313 | 314 |
PART 5 | 335 |
Flood Control System in Russia | 354 |
Flood Protection and Management in the Netherlands | 384 |
Hydraulic Boundary Conditions in the Netherlands at Present | 409 |
The NATO Workshop Extreme Hydrological Events Novosibirsk | 437 |
Probabilistic Forecasts Using Bayesian Networks Calibrated | 173 |
Statistical Estimation Methods for Extreme Hydrological Events | 199 |
Studies of Ice Jam Flooding in the United States | 255 |
Laboratory Modelling of Ice Jam Floods on the Lena River | 269 |
Working Groups Conclusions and Recommendations | 457 |
Authors Index | 479 |
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Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security O.F. Vasiliev,P.H.A.J.M.van Gelder,E.J. Plate,M.V. Bolgov No preview available - 2007 |
Common terms and phrases
analysis Angara River annual assessment at-site August Austria autocorrelation average Bayesian networks Burakov catchment climate coefficient Concepts for Security correlation Czech Republic dike disaster distribution downstream E-mail Engineering environmental estimation evacuation extreme events extreme floods Extreme Hydrological Events Figure flood damage flood defence flood events flood forecasting flood protection flood risk floodplain frequency GPH test hydraulic boundary conditions hydrological ice cover ice jams impacts increase indices Khanka Lake Lena River Lensk LIFESim Lobith long-memory loss low flows maximum measures methods Netherlands Novosibirsk null hypothesis O.F. Vasiliev observed occur Odra parameter precipitation prediction Primorski Krai probability rainfall regional regression Research reservoir return period Rhine risk management river basin runoff RUSSIA Phone S-MLE safety seasonality simulation spatial stationarity statistical streamflow streamflow processes structures trend uncertainty values variables vulnerability water discharges water level Water Management Water Resources winter Yellow River Yenisei
Popular passages
Page iii - Series. The NATO Science Programme offers support for collaboration in civil science between scientists of countries of the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council.The types of scientific meeting generally supported are "Advanced Study Institutes" and "Advanced Research Workshops", although other types of meeting are supported from time to time.
Page 250 - The probability value (p-value) of a statistical hypothesis test is the probability of getting a value of the test statistic as extreme as or more extreme than that observed by chance alone, if the null hypothesis HO, is true.
Page iii - Advanced Research Workshops", although other types of meeting are supported from time to time. The NATO Science Series collects together the results of these meetings. The meetings are co-organized bij scientists from NATO countries and scientists from NATO's Partner countries - countries of the CIS and Central and Eastern Europe.
Page 436 - Directive 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a framework for the Community action in the field of water policy...
Page 10 - Act of 1968 -, in response to the rising cost of taxpayer funded disaster relief for flood victims and the increasing amount of damage caused by floods. The...
Page 407 - Guidelines on design of river dikes", Technical Advisory Committee on Water Defences (TAW), Published by the Centre for Civil Engineering Research and Codes (CUR), Gouda, The Netherlands. TAW, 1995a, "Guidelines on clay specifications'(in Dutch), Technical Advisory Committee on Water Defences (TAW) /Rijkswaterstaat, Delft, the Netherlands.
Page 400 - This register contains all physical qualities of the administered objects and related aspects inside the influence zone : - the boundaries of the influence zone. This zone includes those areas of adjoining sea bed and land where processes are linked in some way to the behaviour of the defence works. - a description of the as-built situation and the actual situation, including longitudinal and cross-sections, geotechnical profiles etc. - a list of issued licenses. - an ownership and farming-out register....
Page 10 - Nearly 20,000 communities across the United States and its territories participate in the NFIP by adopting and enforcing floodplain management ordinances to reduce future flood damage. In exchange, the NFIP makes federally backed flood insurance available to homeowners, renters, and business owners in these communities.
Page 227 - This may be done either in the time domain or in the frequency domain. In the time domain...