Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for SecurityO.F. Vasiliev, P.H.A.J.M.van Gelder, E.J. Plate, M.V. Bolgov Springer Science & Business Media, 2007 M06 17 - 499 pages This proceedings contains the papers which were presented at the NATO Advanced Research Workshop (ARW) on Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security, which was held in Novosibirsk, Russia, from July 11-15, 2005. The workshop fell within the NATO priority research topic on Environmental Security, Disaster Forecast and Prevention. At the present time, the necessity of considerable deepening of our understanding about the nature of extreme and catastrophic natural and man-induced events, in particular hydrologic ones, becomes very topical, as well as the development of advanced methods for their prediction, including estimating probability of their occurrence and a risk related to them. Another aspect of this hydrological problem is reducing of vulnerability of social, economic, and engineering systems to the extreme hydrologic events (EHE) and decreasing of a degree of their effect on such systems. Dealing with these problems needs further refining existing tools for prediction and forecasting of EHE. It can be done essentially through revealing mechanisms of their generation and with use of new approaches and methodologies in related branches of hydrology. This ARW is targeted to contribute to the critical analysis and assessment of current knowledge on a number of the key issues of hydrology, such as: extreme hydrological phenomena, problems of floods, low flows and droughts. In view of significant economic losses and actually wide geographical occurrence, investigation of these hydrological phenomena is of great scientific and practical importance. |
Contents
4 | |
21 | |
41 | |
Catastrophic Flood in the Czech Republic | 59 |
Floods in Austria | 81 |
Flood in Poland in Perspective | 96 |
Floods in Siberian River Basins | 111 |
and T S GUBAREVA | 125 |
Laboratory Modelling of Ice Jam Floods on the Lena River | 269 |
Hydrological Conditions for Actions on Prevention | 278 |
PART 4 | 299 |
G LAAHA and G BLÖSCHL 313 | 314 |
PART 5 | 335 |
Flood Control System in Russia | 354 |
Flood Protection and Management in the Netherlands | 384 |
Hydraulic Boundary Conditions in the Netherlands at Present | 409 |
Regional Flood Frequency Analysis | 151 |
Probabilistic Forecasts Using Bayesian Networks Calibrated | 173 |
Statistical Estimation Methods for Extreme Hydrological Events | 199 |
Studies of Ice Jam Flooding in the United States | 255 |
The NATO Workshop Extreme Hydrological Events Novosibirsk | 437 |
Working Groups Conclusions and Recommendations | 457 |
Authors Index | 479 |
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Common terms and phrases
analysis annual applied approach assessment August Austria average benefits catchment caused changes channel climate combination consequences considered cost cover daily damage decision dependence determine dike disaster discharge distribution effects emergency Engineering estimation event example expected extreme factors failure Figure flood protection forecasting formation frequency function given Group hydraulic hydrological ice jams impacts important increase indices Institute land limited located loss low flows lower maximum mean measures methods natural Netherlands observed obtained occur operation parameter period planning population possible precipitation prediction present probability problems processes rainfall reaches regional regression Research reservoir Rhine risk river basin runoff RUSSIA safety scale seasonality shown shows simulation situation standard statistical streamflow structures Table trend uncertainty values variables vulnerability warning water level winter
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Page iii - Series. The NATO Science Programme offers support for collaboration in civil science between scientists of countries of the Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council.The types of scientific meeting generally supported are "Advanced Study Institutes" and "Advanced Research Workshops", although other types of meeting are supported from time to time.
Page 250 - The probability value (p-value) of a statistical hypothesis test is the probability of getting a value of the test statistic as extreme as or more extreme than that observed by chance alone, if the null hypothesis HO, is true.
Page iii - Advanced Research Workshops", although other types of meeting are supported from time to time. The NATO Science Series collects together the results of these meetings. The meetings are co-organized bij scientists from NATO countries and scientists from NATO's Partner countries - countries of the CIS and Central and Eastern Europe.
Page 436 - Directive 2000/60/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council establishing a framework for the Community action in the field of water policy...
Page 10 - Act of 1968 -, in response to the rising cost of taxpayer funded disaster relief for flood victims and the increasing amount of damage caused by floods. The...
Page 407 - Guidelines on design of river dikes", Technical Advisory Committee on Water Defences (TAW), Published by the Centre for Civil Engineering Research and Codes (CUR), Gouda, The Netherlands. TAW, 1995a, "Guidelines on clay specifications'(in Dutch), Technical Advisory Committee on Water Defences (TAW) /Rijkswaterstaat, Delft, the Netherlands.
Page 400 - This register contains all physical qualities of the administered objects and related aspects inside the influence zone : - the boundaries of the influence zone. This zone includes those areas of adjoining sea bed and land where processes are linked in some way to the behaviour of the defence works. - a description of the as-built situation and the actual situation, including longitudinal and cross-sections, geotechnical profiles etc. - a list of issued licenses. - an ownership and farming-out register....
Page 10 - Nearly 20,000 communities across the United States and its territories participate in the NFIP by adopting and enforcing floodplain management ordinances to reduce future flood damage. In exchange, the NFIP makes federally backed flood insurance available to homeowners, renters, and business owners in these communities.
Page 227 - This may be done either in the time domain or in the frequency domain. In the time domain...