-7 Conclusions Bearing in mind that oil-fired power plants maintain on the average a 30-day supply of oil and assuming further that, as soon as an oil-supply emergency is declared, the Nation will at once: 1. 2. 3. Initiate measures for the conservation of all forms Initiate special measures for the conservation of Initiate measures for maximizing the use of coal in 4. Develop a working mechanism for rationing, allocating, it appears that the nation's electric power generating industry could, within three weeks, absorb a cut in residual oil supply of perhaps 2.2 million barrels per week (annual rate of 114 million barrels equivalent to 18.9 percent of 1972 residual imports). 1/ At the end of six months the electric power industry could theoretically accept a cut of 3.5 million barrels per week (annual rate of 182 million barrels equivalent to 28.6 percent of 1972 residual oil imports) and at the end of one year 3.8 million barrels per week (annual rate of 198 million barrels equivalent to 31.0 percent of 1972 residual oil imports). Because of the concentration of oil burning power plants in certain areas, the above requirements to permit continued operations under a severe reduction in availability of fuel oil would create strenuous problems of supply which could not be solved on short notice and would require comprehensive advance planning if serious disruption of area power supplies were to be avoided. As evident from Table 8, even after allowing one year to maximize the use of coal in steam-electric power plants, electric power generation in the east and west coast regions would remain heavily dependent on residual oil. It appears, therefore, that in the event of a severe cut-back in the supply of residual oil from abroad, it will become necessary to institute a comprehensive fuel allocation program if electric utilities in the coastal regions are to continue to serve their customers reliably. 1/ A 2.0 million barrel equivalent of new coal entering the system and perhaps another 10%, or a 0.2 million barrel equivalent load to be picked up by coal-fired plants. PSA 9/73 Nameplate Rating FOSSIL STEAM GENERATION CAPACITY AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF UNITS REPORTING ON FPC FORM 36, BY RELIABILITY COUNCIL AREA, 1972 Nameplate Capacity (MW) Currently Burning Fuel Burned in 1972* Reliability Council Coal 011** MW Coal 011 Gas 1,000 Tons 1,000 BBLS 43,970.6 42,494.3 8,231.7 73,308.6 0.0 30,907.5 92,887.2 22,778.4 * FPC News Release No. 19370 of June 27, 1973, reports fuel consumption under steam-electric boilers in the contiguous United States as: Gas -- 3,763.74 million Mcf Geographic Region TABLE 2 (A) ECAR 49,109.8 45,508.9 2,567.8 1,033.1 106,446.6 6,411.7 MAIN 23,535.7 20,956.6 1,230.1 1,349.0 MAAC 27,715.3 15,207.3 12,508.0 MARCA 8,184.5 7,501.4 211.8 471.3 NPCC 21,917.7 3,000.3 18,417.4 500.0 SERC 57,267.1 42,840.0 12,234.6 2,192.5 SWPP 25,454.4 2,542.8 216.5. 22,695.1 ERCOT 26,053.0 1,186.8 104.0 WSCC 32,780.7 9,263.0 3,602.7 19,915.0 Unaffiliated 14,848.2 8,368.5 2,828.1 3,651.6 TOTAL 286,866.4 156,375.6 53,921.0 76,569.8 % of Capacity 100.0 54.5 18.8 26.7 % of Energy*** Coal 350.78 million tons 432.32 million barrels (including distillate oil used under steam-electric boilers) ** Includes distillate oil used under steam-electric boilers *** Based on average 1971 heating values of fuels burned by electric utilities: Coal: 11,169 BTU/LB 011: 147,017 BTU/GAL Gas: 1,030 BTU/Cu. Ft. Coal Nameplate Nameplate Capacity (MW) Currently Burning 011 Fuel Burned in 1972* Coal 011** Gas Gas 1,000 Tons 1,000 BBLS 1,000 Mcf 0.0 1,237.7 80,656.7 6,740.7 41,695.8 144,975.7 69,744.1 3,763.74 million Mcf. Gas TABLE 2 (B) FOSSIL STEAM GENERATION CAPACITY AND FUEL CONSUMPTION OF New England 9,295.7 489.2 8,806.5 39,613.8 19,850.8 19,263.0 500.0 E. N. Central 56,699.1 50,523.9 3,632.3 2,542.9 119,162.9 13,986.4 124,528.6 W. N. Central 19,142.0 14,271.9 398.9 4,471.2 29,424.5 1,825.1 343,682.5 South Atlantic 52,737.3 33,433.7 17,434.1 1,869.5 71,349.4 120,941.1 204,706.9 E. S. Central 30,014.8 27,212.8 174.0 2,628.0 57,405.0 603.5 117,395.6 W. S. Central 45,407.2 1,186.8 329.5 43,890.9 1,789.9 3,950.1 1,900,513.8 Mountain 11,596.5 8,076.7 185.3 3,334.5 19,995.0 1,752.0 214,431.3 Pacific 22,360.0 1,329.8 3,697.4 17,332.8 2,002.1 44,109.7 608,712.8 TOTAL 286,866.4 156,375.6 53,921.0 76,569.8 344,062.3 412,800.3 3,590,456.3 % of Capacity 100.0 54.5 18.8 26.7 % of Energy *** 55.2 18.3 26.5 * FPC News Release No. 19370 of June 27, 1973, reports fuel consumption under steam-electric boilers in the contiguous United States as: 011 -- 432.32 million barrels (including distillate Coal 350.78 million tons oil used under steam-electric boilers) ** Includes distillate oil used under steam-electric boilers *** Based on average 1971 heating values of fuels burned by electric utilities: Coal: 11,169 BTU/LB 011: 147,017 BTU/GAL Gas: 1,030 BTU/Cu. Ft. |