A. Percentage of currently married women with uncertain, incomplete, or no responses on birth expectations, for selected survey years: 1981, 1976, and 1971... . . B. Women who have had a child in the last year per 1,000 women, by age, birth order, and C. Out-of-wedlock births per 1,000 unmarried women, by race and selected characteristics: CHART Women who have had a child in the last year, by age, marital status, and labor force status. DETAILED TABLES (Except in tables for a particular race or ethnic group, most show data for all races, White, Birth Expectations 1 2 5 6 2 3 5 1. Births to date and lifetime births expected per 1,000 women: 1967 and 1971 to 1981... 7 8 Part A. Women 18 to 34 years old..... 10 11 Part B. Wives 18 to 34 years old. . . . 4. Births to date and future and lifetime births expected per 1,000 women, by years of school completed and labor force status 5. Births to date and lifetime births expected per 1,000 women, by year of woman's birth: 1976 to 1981. . . . . 16 6. Births to date and future and lifetime births expected per 1,000 wives 18 to 34 years old, by selected characteristics . . . . . 17 7. Future births expected, by number of births to date Part A. Women 18 to 34 years old... Part B. Wives 18 to 34 years old... 8. Future births expected by wives 18 to 34 years old B. Interval since latest birth for mothers. A. Interval since first marriage began for childless Lifetime births expected, by years of school completed and labor force status, for women 18 to 34 years old Lifetime births expected by women 18 to 34 years old, by marital status This report was prepared under the general supervision of Martin O'Con: Statistics Branch. Statistical and typing assistance were provided by Mary Fox, respectively. Overall direction was provided by Arthur J. Norton, As (Demographic and Social Statistics Program). Campbell Gibson, Demograr the content of the report. Christina M. Mann, Demographic Surveys Di puter programs to meet both edit and tabulation specifications. Robert ! Surveys Division, coordinated the survey operations. Statistical revie formed by Paul Hsen, Statistical Methods Division. Marion Gordon text coordination, Paula Coupe, Publication Services Division, edited t SUGGESTED CITATION U.S. Bureau of the Census, Current Population Reports, Series F For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Print Postage stamps not acceptable, currency submitted at sender's risk. Ren be by international money order or by a draft on a U.S. bank. Currer subscription packages Series P 20, P 23, P-27, and P-60 are available f foreign mailing), Series P25, P-26, and P 28 are available for $22 pected by all 048 per 1,000 tions of women ute plus expected slightly lower than women 18 to 34 of women 18 to 34 expected to have no Childbearing were found groups. Women 25 to 29 average of 2.0 births per -olds expected to have 2.1 their 1981 birth expectations he 1976 average of 2.4 births ong 18-to-24-year-old women, tations occurred between 1976 of women expecting no lifetime icantly by age in 1981. to 34 years old in 1981 (table 1) verage of 2.2 births per woman, a level Sat reported by single women the same er woman). The likely reason that single jave fewer children is that they must also marital prospects. Additionally, the survey uch higher proportion of single women fetime births (20.5 percent) than of married ercent). presents lifetime birth expectations data for birth cohorts of women born between 1946 3 (from the Current Population Surveys of 1976 1981). From this table, the short-term stability of expectations can be assessed for individual birth is of women for the survey years from 1976 to 1981. example, as the 1950-51 birth cohort of women aged n 25 years in 1976 to 30 years in 1981, their expected etime fertility remained relatively constant. At each urvey date in the 1976-1981 period, this cohort of women expected a lifetime average of about 2.0 births per woman. The lower panel of data in table 5 indicates a similar stability in birth expectations for women who were currently married at each survey date. For this same birth cohort of married women, the number of lifetime births expected between DETAILED TABLES-Continued Children Ever Born 11. Distribution and average number of children ever born, by race, age, and marital status 12. Children ever born per 1,000 women and percent childless, by selected characteristics Part A. All races Part D. Spanish origin.. 13. Children ever born per 1,000 wives in married-couple families, by selected characteristics. 16. First births per 1,000 women cumulated to successive ages, for women born from 1925-29 APPENDIXES Appendix A. Allocation and Base Population Tables A-2. Percentage of women not reporting on children ever born, by selected characteristics. A-1. Percentage of women with uncertain, incomplete, or no responses on birth expectations, by selected characteristics... 43 45 47 48 49 A-4. Base populations for averages shown in table 5. Appendix B. Definitions and Explanations Table B-1. June 1981 CPS data: comparison of 1970 and 1980 census-based weights, by marital status... C-4. "f" factors to be applied to generalized standard errors in tables C-1, C-2, and C-3. Appendix D. June 1981 Supplemental Questionnaire.. SYMBOLS USED IN TABLES Represents zero or rounds to zero. Denotes "less than." B Base is too small to show derived measure. NA Not available. INTRODUCTION Fertility of American Women: June 1981 The fertility data presented in this report are based on the June 1981 supplement to the Current Population Survey (CPS), which obtained information from women concerning their childbearing to date as well as their future birth expectations. The survey results are tabulated by selected demographic and socioeconomic characteristics. (A preliminary analysis of the data appeared in Current Population Reports, Series P-20, No. 369). Among the more noteworthy findings of the survey are the following: • The lifetime birth expectations of women aged 18 to 24 years old in 1981 were 2,033 births per 1,000 women, a level unchanged from that recorded in 1976 (2,030 per 1,000 women). These women have had only 25 percent of their expected births and will account for a substantial proportion of all births during the next few years. About 11 percent of these women expected to have no births in their lifetime, which is also unchanged from 1976. • The fertility rate of employed women 18 to 29 years old in 1981 was substantially lower (54.2 per 1,000 women) than that of their counterparts who were not in the labor force (193.1 per 1,000 women). Additionally, a higher proportion of employed women 18 to 29 years old were currently childless (68.7 percent) than were women not in the labor force (33.1 percent). A similar pattern was found among 30-to-44-year-olds; a lower fertility rate was recorded among employed women (25.9 per 1,000) than among those not in the labor force (60.2 per 1,000). Once again, a higher proportion of employed women were currently childless (19.5 percent) than were women not in the labor force (7.1 percent), which may indicate a greater tendency to delay motherhood in order to pursue a career. • The 1981 rate of out-of-wedlock childbearing was higher among Black women 18 to 44 years old (67.2 per 1,000 unmarried women) than among White women (17.9 per 1,000). For both races, out-of-wedlock childbearing was higher for women with family incomes under $5,000 than for women with family incomes greater than $10,000; also, out-of-wedlock childbearing was higher among women who had not completed high school than among those who had completed at least 1 year of college. BIRTH EXPECTATIONS The average number of lifetime births expected by all women 18 to 34 years old in 1981 was 2,048 per 1,000 women (table 1). The lifetime birth expectations of women is a composite of actual childbearing to date plus expected future childbearing. The 1981 level was slightly lower than that recorded in 1976 (2,160 per 1,000 women 18 to 34 years old). In addition, 10.9 percent of women 18 to 34 years old in 1981 reported that they expected to have no lifetime births. Slight differences in expected childbearing were found between women in different age groups. Women 25 to 29 years old expected to have an average of 2.0 births per woman, whereas 30-to-34-year-olds expected to have 2.1 children. For the older group, their 1981 birth expectations represented a decline from the 1976 average of 2.4 births expected per woman. Among 18-to-24-year-old women, no change in birth expectations occurred between 1976 and 1981. The proportion of women expecting no lifetime births did not differ significantly by age in 1981. Married women 18 to 34 years old in 1981 (table 1) expected to have an average of 2.2 births per woman, a level that is higher than that reported by single women the same age (1.8 children per woman). The likely reason that single women expect to have fewer children is that they must also anticipate their marital prospects. Additionally, the survey data show a much higher proportion of single women expecting no lifetime births (20.5 percent) than of married women (6.1 percent). Table 5 presents lifetime birth expectations data for single-year birth cohorts of women born between 1946 and 1963 (from the Current Population Surveys of 1976 through 1981). From this table, the short-term stability of birth expectations can be assessed for individual birth cohorts of women for the survey years from 1976 to 1981. For example, as the 1950-51 birth cohort of women aged from 25 years in 1976 to 30 years in 1981, their expected lifetime fertility remained relatively constant. At each survey date in the 1976-1981 period, this cohort of women expected a lifetime average of about 2.0 births per woman. The lower panel of data in table 5 indicates a similar stability in birth expectations for women who were currently married at each survey date. For this same birth cohort of married women, the number of lifetime births expected between |