Southeast.

117,609 129, 392 140,391 151, 932

2,732

2, 978

3, 196

3,411 ||136, 184 140, 083 141, 654 143, 639 147,067 151, 186 153,868 |155, 608

8.3

Preliminary. • Revised.

43,519

143, 275 154,970 166, 525
144, 530 156, 918 164, 667
56,850 60,471
100, 560109, 555

52, 146

NOTE.-Details may not add to totals because of rounding.

Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

[From Survey of Current Business, April 1972]

STATE PROJECTIONS OF INCOME, EMPLOYMENT, AND POPULATION (By Robert E. Graham, Jr., Henry L. DeGraff, and Edward A. Trott, Jr.) The State projections presented here are one product of a joint program undertaken in 1964 by the Bureau of Economic Analysis of the Department of Commerce and the Economic Research Service of the Department of Agriculture to provide economic data for use in water resources development planning. The program was initiated at the request of the Water Resources Council and in large part funded by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the Bureau of Reclamation, and the (then) Federal Water Quality Control Administration. Later this year, the Water Resources Council will publish a fivevolume set of economic projections covering 173 economic areas, 206 water resources planning areas, and the 50 States.

The projections were prepared in the Service Branch, Regional Economics Division of BEA by Lyle Spatz, Steven Tzaneff, Eleanor Curry, and Tasie Anton under the general supervision of Henry DeGraff, Chief of the Service Branch, and under the direct supervision of Edward A. Trott, Jr. Lowell Asby, Assistant Chief of the Division, was responsible for the projections of the national aggregates which formed control totals for the geographic disaggregations. Computer programing was done by David Cartwright and Evelyn Richardson. Many others in the Division played an integral role by furnishing the economic measures requisite to the projections and by developing certain of the analytical techniques used.

BEA wishes to acknowledge the assistance of the Economic Research Service, which prepared the agricultural income and employment components of the State projections.

The State estimates of total and per capita personal income in this report differ from the State series regularly published in the August issue of the Survey on two counts.

First, these estimates are expressed in dollars of constant (1967) purchasing power, whereas the regular State income series is expressed in current dollars.

Second, as with the regular State income series, the data in this report reflect the State of residence of the population and of income recipients and employees, but there is one major exception: the earning data in table 6 reflect the State in which earnings recipients work. The earnings data are presented on a where-worked basis because in water resources planning this is the preferred concept. Also, data with which to adjust earnings in each industry from a place-ofresidence basis are not available. Such an adjustment has been made for total income, however.

The Bureau of the Census published "Preliminary Projections of the Population of States: 1975 to 1990" in March 1972 as Current Population Reports, Series P-26, No. 477. Those projections are based on various assumptions about future patterns in the components of population change (fertility, mortality, interstate migration, and net immigration from abroad). The assumptions are entirely demographic; no specific assumptions were made about economic factors which could influence future trends in the demographic components of population change. In the projections presented here, the emphasis is on economic projections, mainly personal income, and the population projections are essentially a by-product of the income and employment projections. In general, the State population projections presented here are reasonably close to those of the Census Bureau.

(A16)