Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the Future

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Routledge, 2013 M10 18 - 224 pages
The end of the Cold War came as good news for most of the world. No one had predicted the collapse of Communist rule for several decades. This book looks at how political scientists failed to predict such a quick resolution and ways in which the world might develop post Cold War.

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Contents

1 Is the Nonproliferation Treaty Enough?
1
2 Taiwan and Nuclear Proliferation
9
3 Women in Combat
21
Toward a Finlandization of the Warsaw Pact?
35
5 Transboundary Television
55
The Need for Continuing Ambiguity
81
7 Some Barriers to Thinking About Conventional Defense
99
Stable Deterrent or Proliferation Challenge?
113
9 Americas Response to the New World Disorder
133
10 The Gains and Costs of NonLethal Warfare
157
International Standards in Historical Perspective
171
12 The Continuing Debate on Minimal Deterrence
185
Some Conclusions
209
Index
211
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George H. Quester

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