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Climate Change 1995

Impacts, Adaptations and Mitigation of Climate Change:
Scientific-Technical Analyses

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Contribution of Working Group II to the Second Assessment Report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

Published for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change

CAMBRIDGE

Letters Signed by Thousands of Scientists Urging Action

Q14. On page 9 of your written testimony you also state that “The Administration has received letters signed by thousands of scientists in the last few months urging action on this issue warning that nonlinearities or unexpected events, such as the Antarctic ozone hole, are more likely when rates of change are very fast."

A14.

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Please document this statement.

Attached are: (1) a copy of the Scientists Statement on Global Climatic Disruption, signed by 2,600 scientists; (2) a list of the signatories for item 1; and (3) a copy of the World Scientists Call for Action at the Kyoto Summit, signed by more than 1500 scientists, including 104 Nobel Laureates.

SCIENTISTS' STATEMENT

GLOBAL CLIMATIC DISRUPTION

JUNE 18, 1997

We are scientists who are familiar with the causes and effects of climatic change as summarized recently by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We endorse those reports and observe that the further accumulation of greenhouse gases commits the earth irreversibly to further global climatic change and consequent ecological, economic and social disruption. The risks associated with such changes justify preventive action through reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases. In ratifying the Framework Convention on Climate Change, the United States agreed in principle to reduce its emissions. It is time for the United States, as the largest emitter of greenhouse gases, to fulfill this commitment and demonstrate leadership in a global effort.

Human-induced global climatic change is under way. The IPCC concluded that global mean surface air temperature has increased by between about 0.5 and 1.1 degrees Fahrenheit in the last 100 years and anticipates a further continuing rise of 1.8 to 6.3 degrees Fahrenheit during the next century. Sea-level has risen on average 4-10 inches during the past 100 years and is expected to rise another 6 inches to 3 feet by 2100. Global warming from the increase in heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere causes an amplified hydrological cycle resulting in increased precipitation and flooding in some regions and more severe aridity in other areas. The IPCC concluded that "The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate." The warming is expected to expand the geographical ranges of malarta and dengue fever and to open large new areas to other human diseases and plant and animal pests. Effects of the disruption of climate are sufficiently complicated that it is appropiate to assume there will be effects not now anticipated.

Our familiarity with the scale, severity, and costs to human welfare of the disruptions that the climatic changes threaten leads us to introduce this note of urgency and to call for early domestic action to reduce U.S. emissions via the most cost-effective means. We encourage other nations to join in similar actions with the purpose of producing a substantial and progressive global reduction in greenhouse gas emissions beginning immediately. We call attention to the fact that there are financial as well as environmental advantages to reducing emissions. More than 2000 economists recently observed that there are many potential policies to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions for which total benefits outweigh the total costs.

The Framework Convention on Climate Change, ratified by the United States and more than 165 other nations, calls for stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at levels that will protect human interests and nature. The Parties to the Convention will meet in December, 1997, in Kyoto, Japan to prepare a protocol implementing the convention. We urge that the United States enter that meeting with a clear national plan to limi: emissions, and a recommendation as to how the U.S. will assist other nations in. significant steps toward achieving the joint purpose of stabilization.

INITIAL SIGNATORIES

Dr. John P. Holdren
Dr. Jane Lubchenco

Dr. Harold A. Mooney

Dr. Peter H. Raven
Dr. F. Sherwood Rowland
Dr. George M. Woodwell

Signed by 2409 scientists as of 6:19 PM on June 17, 1997

SCIENTISTS' STATEMENT ON
GLOBAL CLIMATIC DISRUPTION

JUNE 1997

"More than 2,400 scientists, including most of
the nation's experts on climate change, have
called on the Clinton Administration to take
'early domestic action' to reduce... global
warming."

Wall Street Journal, June 19, 1997

Initial Signatories:

John P. Holdren

Jane Lubchenco

Harold A. Mooney

Peter H. Raven

F. Sherwood Rowland

SCIENTISTS' STATEMENT

GLOBAL CLIMATIC DISRUPTION

JUNE 18, 1997

We are scientists who are familiar with the causes and effects of climatic change as summarized recently by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). We endorse those reports and observe that the further accumulation of greenhouse gases commits the earth irreversibly to further global climatic change and consequent ecological, economic and social disruption. The risks associated with such changes justify preventive action through reductions in emissions of greenhouse gases. In ratifying the Framework Convention on Climate Change, the United States agreed in principle to reduce its emissions. It is time for the United States, as the largest emitter of greenhouse gases, to fulfill this commitment and demonstrate leadership in a global effort.

Human-induced global climatic change is under way. The IPCC concluded that global mean surface air temperature has increased by between about 0.5 and 1.1 degrees Fahrenheit in the last 100 years and anticipates a further continuing rise of 1.8 to 6.3 degrees Fahrenheit during the next century. Sea-level has risen on average 4-10 inches during the past 100 years and is expected to rise another 6 inches to 3 feet by 2100. Global warming from the increase in heat-trapping gases in the atmosphere causes an amplified hydrological cycle resulting in increased precipitation and flooding in some regions and more severe aridity in other areas. The IPCC concluded that "The balance of evidence suggests a discernible human influence on global climate." The warming is expected to expand the geographical ranges of malaria and dengue fever and to open large new areas to other human diseases and plant and animal pests. Effects of the disruption of climate are sufficiently complicated that it is appropiate to assume there will be effects not now anticipated.

Our familiarity with the scale, severity, and costs to human welfare of the disruptions that the climatic changes threaten leads us to introduce this note of urgency and to call for early domestic action to reduce U.S. emissions via the most cost-effective means. We encourage other nations to join in similar actions with the purpose of producing a substantial and progressive global reduction in greenhouse gas emissions beginning immediately. We call attention to the fact that there are financial as well as environmental advantages to reducing emissions. More than 2000 economists recently observed that there are many potential policies to reduce greenhouse gas emissions for which total benefits outweigh the total costs.

The Framework Convention on Climate Change, ratified by the United States and more than 165 other nations, calls for stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at levels that will protect human interests and nature. The Parties to the Convention will meet in December, 1997, in Kyoto, Japan to prepare a protocol implementing the convention. We urge that the United States enter that meeting with a clear national plan to limit emissions, and a recommendation as to how the U.S. will assist other nations in significant steps toward achieving the joint purpose of stabilization.

INITIAL SIGNATORIES

Dr. John P. Holdren
Dr. Jane Lubchenco

Dr. Harold A. Mooney

Dr. Peter H. Raven
Dr. F. Sherwood Rowland
Dr. George M. Woodwell

Endorsed by over 2,600 Scientists

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