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UNITED STATES OF AMERICA

Monthly Labor Review

UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF LABOR • BUREAU OF LABOR STATISTICS

LAWRENCE R. KLEIN, Editor-in-Chief

MARY S. BEDELL, Executive Editor

CONTENTS

125

128

130

131

133

139

145

148

156

161

167 175

III

183

187

189

194

203

Special Articles

Unemployment and Its Measurement:

Unemployment Data Needs for Planning and Evaluating Policy
Adequacy of Unemployment Data for Government Uses
Growth Requirements To Reduce Unemployment
Action Programs To Deal With Unemployment

The Fourth Biennial Convention of the AFL-CIO

Summaries of Studies and Reports

Labor-Management Policy Committee Report on Automation

Workmen's Compensation Laws and Employment of the Handicapped
Multiemployer Pension Plans Under Collective Bargaining-Pt. II
Wages in Work Clothing and Shirt Factories, May-June 1961
Wage Chronology: Sinclair Oil Companies-Supplement No. 2-1957-61

Technical Notes

Some Alternative Indexes of Employment and Unemployment
Weight Revisions in the Wholesale Price Index, 1890-1960

Departments

The Labor Month in Review

Significant Decisions in Labor Cases
Chronology of Recent Labor Events
Developments in Industrial Relations
Book Reviews and Notes

Current Labor Statistics

February 1962 Vol. 85. No. 2

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This chart is based on information from "Health, Insurance, and Pension Plan Coverage in Union Contracts," which is to be published in the March issue of the Review. That article will also show the industric distribution of the workers covered and the extent to which worker represented by unions have such plans in various industry and unio classifications.

The Labor Month in Review

WHEN THE PRESIDENT on January 17 signed Executive Order 10988, the way was opened for formal collective bargaining relations between the Nation's largest employer-the Federal Government and most of its 2.5 million civilian employees.

A presidential task force, consisting of the Secretary of Labor as chairman, the chairman of the Civil Service Commission, the director of the Bureau of the Budget, the Postmaster General, the Secretary of Defense, and the Special Counsel to the President, made the recommendations which eventuated as the order.

THE ORDER DECLARES, as a policy of good government, that "orderly and constructive relationships be maintained between employee organizations and management officials." It then lays down principles and rules to guide those relationships and directs all officers and agencies of the executive branch to be governed accordingly. Some significant provisions of the order are outlined in the following paragraphs.

1. Employees have the right to join unions-or to refrain from joining-without risk of coercion or reprisal, and the right, once in a union, to participate in it as member or officer, "including presentation of its views to officials [and] the Congress...'

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2. Recognition is denied unions which assert a right to strike against the Government (or to assist any such strike), advocate overthrow of the "constitutional form" of government, or practice racial, religious, or nationality discrimination.

3. Three forms of recognition are accorded unions. The informal type, in effect, acknowledges that the organization exists and can represent its members, although the agency need not consult it on personnel policy matters. Formal status can be acquired if the union has at least 10

percent "stable" membership in a given unit in which no other union has exclusive recognition; it speaks for its members only and is consulted on personnel policy; a prerequisite to formal recognition is the filing of officers' names, union constitution, and objectives. To obtain exclusive recognition, the organization must be selected by a majority of employees in a unit and cannot have within it managerial executives, nonclerical personnel employees, and certain supervisors; professional and nonprofessional employees may not combine in a unit unless the former agree; a written memorandum of agreement can be negotiated covering all in the unit, although budgetary matters, the mission of the agency, assignment of personnel, and the technology employed in performing work are specifically proscribed as negotiable matters; there are other protections of management's right to manage.

4. A form of "advisory" arbitration of grievances is permissible if both sides agree, but application of the recommendation is subject to approval of the agency head, and only interpretation of an agreement or application of agency policy can be thus arbitrated. (A similar form of quasi-arbitration has been practiced between the Department of Interior and unions representing employees of The Alaska Railroad.') 5. By July 1, 1962, agency heads must issue regulations to implement the order, including how to determine bargaining units and to conduct elections.

6. The Civil Service Commission and the Department of Labor are made jointly responsible for preparing proposed "standards of conduct" for unions and a proposed code of fair labor practices for employee-management relations in the Federal Service; the Commission is made responsible for management training in employee-management relations.

In summary, the order does two things: It guarantees certain rights of organization, consultation, and formal processing of grievances to an exceptionally large group of workers who by law are denied the strike weapon; it gives Federal employee unions some of the representation and

1 See Edwin M. Fitch, "The Government and Bargaining on The Alaska Railroad," Monthly Labor Review, May 1961, pp. 459-462.

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Secretary of Labor Arthur J. Goldberg, addressing the American Federation of Government Employees, noted that at times in the past the relationship between unions of Federal employees and Government agencies "was one of ill-disguised hostility." He predicted that "the voice of the organizations of Federal employees will increasingly be heard in the councils of our Government and throughout the land," and he urged that "it be the voice of responsibility."

John W. Macy, Jr., chairman of the Civil Service Commission, called the order "the start of a new era in personnel-management in Government."

The emulative effect that this Federal experiment at the Federal level might have on nearly 7 million State and local government employees could be as interesting a development to watch as the progress of events under the Executive order.

SIGNING OF THE ORDER does not portend organization of all Federal employees or the inclusion in one huge union of all Federal workers who wish to be organized. Unionization of Federal employees has been legally sanctioned since passage of the Lloyd-La Follette Act of 1912, and there currently are more than 40 unions which compete for their membership. Some of the unions limit their membership exclusively to Federal workers, either on a craft or all-occupation basis; others have the bulk of their membership in private industries, but also organize craftrelated Federal workers. Outside the Post Office Department, no union has organized a majority

of the employees in any of the largest agencies of the Government. It was estimated by the presidential task force that two-thirds of all Government workers do not hold union membership.

The Executive order is perforce restricted to those agencies which together form the executive branch of the Government, wherein most Federal employees work. Excluded are employees of the Congress (and agencies responsible to Congress such as the Government Printing Office) and of the Federal courts. Moreover, employees of the Federal Bureau of Investigation, the Central Intelligence Agency, and others with investigating, intelligence, or security functions are specifically barred.

FEDERAL CIVILIAN EMPLOYMENT in the executive branch embraces hundreds of occupations-from deep sea divers to astronomers, from mail clerks to ecologists. Work stations are located in just about every country. The methods of determining wages and salaries are so varied and so complicated as to preclude brief explanation. About

a million workers receive statutory salaries under the Classification Act of 1949. They are known as "classified" employees, and include the headquarters staff of the Post Office Department. Yet. the "field service" of that Department, with about a half million workers, is paid under a schedule established by still another law. More than 650,000 "blue-collar" workers (laborers and craftsmen), principally in the Departments of the Army. Navy, and Air Force (which also employ thousands) of classified workers), are paid on the basis of sev eral wage board or prevailing rate plans, some of which involve direct negotiation with unions And there are other methods involving smaller; groups.

With the notable exception of the postal service and certain skilled crafts, unionism as yet has not been attractive to a sizable proportion of Govern-" ment employees, particularly in the white-collar occupations. This has probably been due in part to the provisions for job tenure in the civil service as a whole and to such legally established benefits! as generous vacation and sick leave, along with insurance and retirement benefits.

See Toivo P. Kanninen, "Rate Setting by the Army-Air Force Ws Board," Monthly Labor Review, October 1958, pp. 1107-1112.

Unemployment and Its Measurement

EDITOR'S NOTE.-The following four articles are excerpted from papers delivered
before concurrent meetings of the American Economic Association, the
American Statistical Association, and the Industrial Relations Research
Association, in New York City, December 27-29, 1961. They have been
selected as typical of more than a dozen dealing with a subject commanding
special current interest. Minor word changes have been made to bridge
elisions from the original text. A fifth article, on measurement, not based
on one of the New York papers, will be found on page 167. A miscellany
of papers read to sessions of the IRRA meeting will be excerpted in the
March issue.

Unemployment Data Needs

for Planning and Evaluating Policy

STANLEY LEBERGOTT*

When To Act?

I now turn to some of the tough problems that lie in wait for the authorities when they try to assess where this economy of ours now is and where It is headed. Our requirements are rigorous: we may seek to change the economic trend. Let me give a specific example and a specific proposal.

On October 1, 1953, the Council of Economic Advisers and the Federal Reserve Board had beFore them the Current Population Survey report on the unemployment change from August to September 1953. That report showed the seasonally adjusted figures rising-but just barely rising. But what had taken place in the month just endng? Had the rise continued, worsened, or reversed itself?

A reasonably prudent authority will wait for at least another month's figure to confirm or deny the pattern of change. What this comes to is that 4 months after a possibly significant break in the economic tide, the Government first has a confirmatory figure on the net effect on unemployment of any policy action it has taken.

Until now the way out of this impasse has been to rely on the weekly unemployment compensation data to measure unemployment trends and to use a hodge-podge of carloadings, steel output, and auto production data for measuring employment. Neither will measure as comprehensively (nor as precisely) as the monthly Current Population Survey figures. Nor are they closely comparable with them. The unemployment insurance claims data are bent and shaped by administrative factors. After all, the system was not set up to grind out statistics: State regulations can vary on when a worker qualifies, when claims may be filed, when they are recorded. Workers may delay filing initial claims for their own reasons-and significant numbers do. Others exhaust their benefits and fall from the statistician's view just at the time when there is most urgency in the numbers. When Congress extends the benefit periods it complicates the numbers further. A dull history of attempts to adjust the claims data for greater interstate comparability, and the depressing difference in trend between continued claims and unemployment from the first to the third quarter of this year completes the catalog. Yet with all their limitations the claims data make a better showing at measuring unemployment than does the combination of steel, auto, and paperboard

*Visiting Professor of Economics, Stanford University.

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