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474 pp.

ABT Associates, Inc.,
Cambridge, MA.

In a paper presented at a conference
sponsored by the International Economic
Association in Urbino, Italy, in 1976,
applied social research and social
welfare programs undertaken by the U.S.
Government from 1965 to 1975 are sub-
mitted to cost-benefit analysis. The
difficulties of cost-benefit analysis in
this field are outlined. To some extent
the results uphold the assertion that
the benefits of applied social research
and social welfare programs signifi-
cantly exceed their costs. It is sug-
gested that applied social research
could be extremely profitable. The need
for research in the attribution-
imputation of program decisions and
social impacts, the pricing of benefits,
distributional effects, and marginal
productivities of social research and
action programs is emphasized. jnl-mod.

1853 Banerjee, Kali S.

Cost of Living Index Numbers: Practice,
Precision, and Theory.
New York, NY, Marcel Dekker, 1975.
179 pp.

• University of Delaware,
Newark, DE.

Cost-of-living index numbers are examined in terms of underlying philosophy and assumptions and details of construction and maintenance. Topics discussed include: formal tests in the theory of index numbers, the chain index, components of error associated with index numbers, the concept of true index, and sampling methodology. jnl-mod.

1854 Barron, Erma W.; Finch, Robert H., Jr.

Design Effects in a Complex Multistage
Sample: The Survey of Low Income Aged
and Disabled (SLIAD).

In: American Statistical Association,
1978 Proceedings of the Section on
Survey Research Methods, pp. 400-405.
Washington, DC, American Statistical
Association, 1978. 747 pp.

Social Security Administration.

Results of a study of design effects of attributes and proportions from SSA's Survey of Low-Income Aged and Disabled

(SLIAD) are presented in a paper read at the American Statistical Association Section on Survey Research Methods, San Diego, California, August 14-17, 1978. Aspects of the sample design, variance estimation procedures, and the collapsed stratum method used in SLIAD are explained. Design factors for attributes varied considerably, while those for proportions were much more stable. The implications of the results are discussed in terms of sample design. pro-gen.

1855 Cobleigh, Cynthia; Alvey, Wendy. Validating Reported Social Security Numbers.

In: American Statistical Association,
1974 Proceedings of the Social Statis-
tics Section, pp. 145-150.
Washington, DC, American Statistical
Association, 1975. 474 pp.

• Social Security Administration.

In a paper read at the annual meeting of the American Statistical Association, Social Statistics Section, St. Louis, Missouri, August 26-29, 1974, validation of reported social security numbers (SSN's) in the SSA Current Population Survey (CPS) Exact Match Study is discussed. An overview of the validation process and errors is followed by a demographic characterization of respondents and an examination of the extent of CPS agreement. pro-gen.

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of proposed income-maintenance programs are described. Tasks include: (1) listing program provisions that may have effects either directly or by changing the behavioral patterns of participating families; (2) constructing a set of socioeconomic indicators for gauging these effects; (3) developing a theoretical framework for analyzing these effects; and (4) obtaining information necessary to predict changes in socioeconomic indicators that would result from adoption of a given income-maintenance alternative. pro-gen.

1860 Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Regional Work Force Characteristics and Migration Data: A Handbook on the Social Security Continuous Work History Sample and Its Application. Washington, DC, Department of Commerce, 1976. 128 pp.

A handbook for the expanding group of users of the SSA Continuous Work History Sample (CWHS) data system service is provided. The Bureau of Economic Analysis-SSA cooperative program which receives interagency support provides summary data on the work force structure and migration in a format useful for regional economic and demographic analysis. This handbook documents the CWHS data files and their limitations, provides information on applications and comparability, and offers extensive statistical-technical information for CWHS users. jnl-mod.

independence. Mathematical techniques are described for relating benefits to costs and other policy problems. jnl-mod.

1862 Fillenbaum, Gerda G.

The Longitudinal Retirement History Study: Methodological and Substantive Issues.

Gerontologist,

19(2):203-209, 1979.

Funded by DHEW, Administration on
Aging, Grant No. 90-A-1048, and DHEW,
Office of Planning Research and Evalua-
tion, Grant No. 10-P-9056/4-01.

Center for the Study of Aging and
Human Development, Duke University,
Durham, NC.

The SSA Longitudinal Retirement History Study (RHS) is discussed with respect to the sample and sampling techniques used, information being sought, reliability and validity of the data, usability of the data, and duration of the study. It is noted that the study is gathering data relating to a broad range of subjects using a more adequate sample than similar studies. Data are also seen to have good comparative value, and it is suggested that continuation of the RHS beyond its scheduled cessation in 1979 be considered. jnl-mod.

1861 Fanshel, Sol.

The Welfare of the Elderly: A Systems Analysis Viewpoint.

Policy Sciences,

6(3):343-357, 1975.

• Fairleigh Dickinson University, Teaneck, NJ.

A methodology is presented for the analysis of social services to the elderly. A scale is devised to represent the states of dependency of elderly people, ranging from mobility to coma, and weights representing value judgments of administrators are assigned to these several states. The benefit to the elderly is measured in terms of the degree of change that the intervention of

social services causes in this scale; it is assumed that the goal of social services is to increase the elderly person's

1863 Finch, Robert H., Jr.

Sampling Variability in the 1-Percent Continuous Work History Sample. Washington, DC, SSA/ORS, DHEW Pub. No. 77-11904, 1977. 20 pp.

• Social Security Administration,

Office of Research and Statistics.

Data on sampling variability in the selection of social security numbers for the 1-Percent Continous Work History Sample are presented. Standard errors are given for numbers and percentages of persons and estimated aggregate earnings; estimated mean tables show design effects for numbers of persons with earnings in 1967 by major industry group, State, and sex. pro-gen.

1864 General Accounting Office.
An Evaluation Of The Use Of The
Transfer Income Model--TRIM--To Analyze
Welfare Programs.

(GAO, PAD-78-14) Washington, DC,
GAO, 1977. 107 pp.

The Transfer Income Model for welfare policy analysis is described and its use within the Federal Government is evaluated in terms of its major assumptions, the effect of these assumptions on the results, the adequacy of the model's documentation, and its practicality. Recommendations are made regarding the limitations of the model and the effective use of it and other analytical tools. pro-gen.

1865 Gillaspy, R. Thomas; De Jong,
Gordon F.; Keppel, Kenneth G.

A Methodology for Projecting the Older
Population of Local Areas.
Review of Public Data Use,
6(5):25-33, 1978.

Funded by Administration on Aging,
Grant No. 90-A-981-01.

• Andrus Gerontology Center,

University of Southern California,
Los Angeles, CA.

A modified cohort-component method
for making projections of the elderly
population of localities is presented.
The method is intended for users with
access to relatively small computational
facilities. It is asserted that this
method: (1) accounts for special demo-
graphic characteristics of the older
population; (2) is oriented toward

short-run estimates for local areas; (3) gives results for detailed age and sex categories; and (4) is usable by State and focal planners. The methodology is explained and applied, with illustrated examples, to projections of the elderly population of Bucks County, Pennsylvania. jnl-mod.

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demonstrated. A practical application of EASYMAP is provided, along with information on installation. jnl-mod.

1869 Kershaw, David N. Issues in Income Maintenance Experimentation.

In: Rossi, P., et al., eds., Evaluating Social Programs: Theory, Practice, and Politics, pp. 221-245.

New York, NY, Seminar, 1972. 326 pp. Mathematica, Inc., Princeton, NJ.

Some of the major operational problems encountered during the New Jersey Negative Income Tax Experiment are discussed to shed light on techniques of largescale social experimentation in a highly complex urban setting. Major issues relate to the local political setting; the organization of research, analysis, supervision, and funding activities; enrollment techniques; counterattrition methods; confidentiality; and the effect of the experiment on responses. The manner in which these problems were dealt with is described, and the implications for further social experimentation are discussed. pro-gen.

1870 Kilss, Beth; Oh, H. Lock; Scheuren, Frederick.

1964 Current Population Survey-Administrative Record Pilot Link File Codebook.

(SSA/ORS, Studies from Interagency Data Linkage, Report No. 7) Washington, DC, SSA/ORS, DHEW Pub. No. SSA-77-11750. 1977.

Social Security Administration,
Office of Research and Statistics.

This codebook presents documentation on the general use computer file from the 1963 Pilot Link Study carried out by the Census Bureau, the Internal Revenue Service (IRS), and the Social Security Administration (SSA). The file consists of selected items from the March 1964 Current Population Survey which are matched to SSA earnings and IRS income tax data. Details of the logical and physical organization of the data tapes are given. Basic information includes brief descriptions and counts for each item. The file is intended to enable researchers to introduce an historical dimension to their analyses of the 1973 Exact Match data files. jnl-mod.

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1872 Kilss, Beth; Tyler, Barbara.
Searching for Missing Social Security
Numbers.

In: American Statistical Association,
1974 Proceedings of the Social Statis-
tics Section, pp. 137-144.
Washington, DC, American Statistical
Association, 1975. 474 pp.

Social Security Administration.

In a paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Statistical Association, Social Statistics Section, St. Louis, Missouri, August 26-29, 1974, searching procedures for missing social security numbers (SSN's) in the Current Population Survey are described. The information needed for searching, and the files employed in the process are given. Data on nonrespondents are given with respect to age, race, sex, completeness of name, and commonness of surname. The procedure employed has cut in half the original number of SSN's not obtained from survey data. pro-gen.

1873 Kraft, Michael E.; Schneider,
Mark.

Population Policy Analysis: Issues in
American Politics.

Issues in American Politics,
(Policy Studies Organization Series 17)
Lexington, MA, D. C. Heath, 1978.
204 PP.

• University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI.

A compendium of studies on population policy analysis, many based on studies

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