Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource SystemsJanos J. Bogardi, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Cambridge University Press, 2002 M01 28 Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems is based on the Third George Kovacs Colloquium organized by the International Hydrological Programme (UNESCO) and the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. Thirty-five leading scientists with international reputations provide reviews of topical areas of research on water resource systems, including aspects of extreme hydrological events: floods and droughts; water quantity and quality dams; reservoirs and hydraulic structures; evaluating sustainability and climate change impacts. As well as discussing essential challenges and research directions, the book will assist in applying theoretical methods to the solution of practical problems in water resources. The authors are multi-disciplinary, stemming from such areas as: hydrology, geography, civil, environmental and agricultural engineering, forestry, systems sciences, operations research, mathematics, physics and geophysics, ecology and atmospheric sciences. This review volume will be valuable for graduate students, scientists, consultants, administrators, and practising hydrologists and water managers. |
From inside the book
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Page x
... Measuring the " invisibles " of society 8.4 A contextual analysis of the drought - related social messages of newspaper articles 8.5 Analysis of the observed water saving phenomenon : Another examination of the working hypothesis 8.6 ...
... Measuring the " invisibles " of society 8.4 A contextual analysis of the drought - related social messages of newspaper articles 8.5 Analysis of the observed water saving phenomenon : Another examination of the working hypothesis 8.6 ...
Page xi
... measures of uncertainties 15.4 Methods for uncertainty analysis 19.1 Introduction 15.5 Remarks on uncertainty ... Measuring sustainability of water 15.7 Concluding remarks resources systems 19.5 Final remarks 16 Managing water quality ...
... measures of uncertainties 15.4 Methods for uncertainty analysis 19.1 Introduction 15.5 Remarks on uncertainty ... Measuring sustainability of water 15.7 Concluding remarks resources systems 19.5 Final remarks 16 Managing water quality ...
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... measure sustainability. These method- ological works do not end up with real-world applications, yet are of much interest and possibly set the stage for further attempts. Finally, among the three contributions on reservoirs and ...
... measure sustainability. These method- ological works do not end up with real-world applications, yet are of much interest and possibly set the stage for further attempts. Finally, among the three contributions on reservoirs and ...
Page 4
... measure of risk , namely : • annual fatality rates ; mean fatalities per year ; individual and societal risk criteria ; • F - N curves , etc. Political Level Management Level Engineering Level Figure 2.1 . A. Issue 5. Emergency planning ...
... measure of risk , namely : • annual fatality rates ; mean fatalities per year ; individual and societal risk criteria ; • F - N curves , etc. Political Level Management Level Engineering Level Figure 2.1 . A. Issue 5. Emergency planning ...
Page 10
... measures in the overall decision process. Techniques yielding unacceptable results. It should be noted that there are techniques in use for the purpose of making deci- sions that may not yield acceptable results, even though they appear ...
... measures in the overall decision process. Techniques yielding unacceptable results. It should be noted that there are techniques in use for the purpose of making deci- sions that may not yield acceptable results, even though they appear ...
Contents
1 | |
4 | |
The unbearable cleverness of bluffing | 22 |
4 Aspects of uncertainty reliability and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar | 30 |
5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting | 41 |
Risk cartography for objective negotiations | 47 |
7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia | 54 |
8 Developing an indicator of a communitys disaster risk awareness | 62 |
13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input | 111 |
14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty | 122 |
15 System and component uncertainties in water resources | 133 |
Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method | 143 |
17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change | 153 |
theory and practice | 162 |
19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria | 169 |
20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems | 181 |
9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation | 70 |
10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models | 76 |
11 Stochastic precipitationrunoff modeling for water yield from a semiarid forested watershed | 86 |
12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems | 101 |
21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria | 190 |
22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems | 199 |
23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads | 209 |
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Common terms and phrases
algorithm alternatives annual approach average basin Bogardi branch and bound calculated capture zone catchment climate change coliform components computed considered decision makers defined demand distance metrics distribution drought Duckstein duration economic Engineering environmental equation estimate evaluation example failure Figure flood forecasting flow Fukuoka future fuzzy sets gamma distribution genetic algorithms groundwater hazard hydraulic hydroclimatological hydrological impact increase inflow input integrated IRRASM measure Mellin transform method model output objective function operation optimal parameters percent performance period pollutant probabilistic probability problem procedure radar rainfall raingauge random variables regional reliability reservoir resilience risk analysis risk assessment risk management river robust runoff scenarios selected simulation solution spatial SPRD statistical stochastic storage streamflow surface runoff sustainability Takamatsu techniques temperature tion transform vulnerability Water Resources Research water resources systems water saving water supply systems water yield watershed WCOG