Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource SystemsJanos J. Bogardi, Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Cambridge University Press, 2002 M01 28 Risk, Reliability, Uncertainty, and Robustness of Water Resource Systems is based on the Third George Kovacs Colloquium organized by the International Hydrological Programme (UNESCO) and the International Association of Hydrological Sciences. Thirty-five leading scientists with international reputations provide reviews of topical areas of research on water resource systems, including aspects of extreme hydrological events: floods and droughts; water quantity and quality dams; reservoirs and hydraulic structures; evaluating sustainability and climate change impacts. As well as discussing essential challenges and research directions, the book will assist in applying theoretical methods to the solution of practical problems in water resources. The authors are multi-disciplinary, stemming from such areas as: hydrology, geography, civil, environmental and agricultural engineering, forestry, systems sciences, operations research, mathematics, physics and geophysics, ecology and atmospheric sciences. This review volume will be valuable for graduate students, scientists, consultants, administrators, and practising hydrologists and water managers. |
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Page ix
... consequences of an objective negotiation 6.5 Conclusions Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia Jonathan F. Thomas and Bryson C. Bates 7.1 Variability in Australia's climate and hydrology 7.2 ...
... consequences of an objective negotiation 6.5 Conclusions Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia Jonathan F. Thomas and Bryson C. Bates 7.1 Variability in Australia's climate and hydrology 7.2 ...
Page 1
... consequences of future societies are largely uncer- tain: unexpected shifts and unpredictable changes cannot be ruled out. Among the plethora of uncertainties in hydrology and water resources research, one thing is certain: water ...
... consequences of future societies are largely uncer- tain: unexpected shifts and unpredictable changes cannot be ruled out. Among the plethora of uncertainties in hydrology and water resources research, one thing is certain: water ...
Page 5
... consequences ; databases which must include information on a variety of data related to the use of models ( e.g. ... consequence assessment models and tools . Approaches close to the concept of LCA ( Life Cycle Analysis ) are significant ...
... consequences ; databases which must include information on a variety of data related to the use of models ( e.g. ... consequence assessment models and tools . Approaches close to the concept of LCA ( Life Cycle Analysis ) are significant ...
Page 6
... consequence assessment ; • integrate various types of risk in the region ; • design emergency response plans . Van den Brand methodology There are a number of methods. -Multicriteria Decision Models -Analytical Hierarchical Process -Risk ...
... consequence assessment ; • integrate various types of risk in the region ; • design emergency response plans . Van den Brand methodology There are a number of methods. -Multicriteria Decision Models -Analytical Hierarchical Process -Risk ...
Page 7
... consequences . Step 4. Assess the probability of such an event . This can be calculated by using probability numbers for dif- ferent kinds of industrial activity and " correcting " these numbers by using correction factors based on the ...
... consequences . Step 4. Assess the probability of such an event . This can be calculated by using probability numbers for dif- ferent kinds of industrial activity and " correcting " these numbers by using correction factors based on the ...
Contents
1 | |
4 | |
The unbearable cleverness of bluffing | 22 |
4 Aspects of uncertainty reliability and risk in flood forecasting systems incorporating weather radar | 30 |
5 Probabilistic hydrometeorological forecasting | 41 |
Risk cartography for objective negotiations | 47 |
7 Responses to the variability and increasing uncertainty of climate in Australia | 54 |
8 Developing an indicator of a communitys disaster risk awareness | 62 |
13 Hydrological risk under nonstationary conditions changing hydroclimatological input | 111 |
14 Fuzzy compromise approach to water resources systems planning under uncertainty | 122 |
15 System and component uncertainties in water resources | 133 |
Application of a new stochastic branch and bound method | 143 |
17 Uncertainty in risk analysis of water resources systems under climate change | 153 |
theory and practice | 162 |
19 Quantifying system sustainability using multiple risk criteria | 169 |
20 Irreversibility and sustainability in water resources systems | 181 |
9 Determination of capture zones of wells by Monte Carlo simulation | 70 |
10 Controlling three levels of uncertainties for ecological risk models | 76 |
11 Stochastic precipitationrunoff modeling for water yield from a semiarid forested watershed | 86 |
12 Regional assessment of the impact of climate change on the yield of water supply systems | 101 |
21 Future of reservoirs and their management criteria | 190 |
22 Performance criteria for multiunit reservoir operation and water allocation problems | 199 |
23 Risk management for hydraulic systems under hydrological loads | 209 |
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algorithm alternatives annual approach average basin Bogardi branch and bound calculated capture zone catchment climate change coliform components computed considered decision makers defined demand distance metrics distribution drought Duckstein duration economic Engineering environmental equation estimate evaluation example failure Figure flood forecasting flow Fukuoka future fuzzy sets gamma distribution genetic algorithms groundwater hazard hydraulic hydroclimatological hydrological impact increase inflow input integrated IRRASM measure Mellin transform method model output objective function operation optimal parameters percent performance period pollutant probabilistic probability problem procedure radar rainfall raingauge random variables regional reliability reservoir resilience risk analysis risk assessment risk management river robust runoff scenarios selected simulation solution spatial SPRD statistical stochastic storage streamflow surface runoff sustainability Takamatsu techniques temperature tion transform vulnerability Water Resources Research water resources systems water saving water supply systems water yield watershed WCOG