World Economic Outlook, May 1996: Focus on Fiscal Policy

Front Cover
International Monetary Fund, 1996 M05 30 - 200 pages
The World Economic Outlook, published twice a year in English, French, Spanish, and Arabic, presents IMF staff economists analyses of global economic developments during the near and medium term. Chapters give an overview of the world economy; consider issues affecting industrial countries, developing countries, and economies in transition to market; and address topics of pressing current interest. Annexes, boxes, charts, and an extensive statistical appendix augment the text.
 

Contents

98
4
World Economic Situation and ShortTerm Prospects
13
Inflation and Commodity Prices
27
External Payments Financing and Debt
36
Fiscal Challenges Facing Industrial Countries
44
Why Persistent Budget Deficits Are a Problem
50
Economics of Fiscal Consolidation
56
Macroeconomic Effects of Fiscal Consolidation
60
Annex
93
Effects of Debt Reduction in the United States Through Lower Government Expenditures
95
Effects of Debt Reduction in All Industrial Countries Except the United States
96
Effects of Debt Reduction in the United States Through
97
Statistical Appendix
106
Page
112
30
126
60
130

Characteristics of Fiscal Consolidation
61
Fiscal Policy Issues in Developing Countries
63
Budgetary and Economic Indicators by Region
65
Fiscal Deficits and Economic Performance
69
Benefits and Challenges of Fiscal Adjustment
71
Progress Made and Problems Remaining
77
General Government Budget Balance
78
General Government Revenue
80
General Government Expenditure
81
Privatization Indicators in Selected Transition Countries
84
Pension Indicators for Central and Eastern European Countries 1992
85
Subsidies to Enterprises in Selected Transition Countries
87
Nonperforming Bank Loans
90
54
132
80
140
74
149
81
151
84
153
87
156
90
157
Higher Taxes 97
162
Revenue From Mineral Resources 98 Box 3 Estimated Problem Loans as of the End of September 1995
167
49
168
Equity Yield Gap and Stock Market Prices 14 Selected Developing Countries Bilateral Exchange Rates Against the U S Dollar and Real Effective Exc...
170
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