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Y 4.Ag4/2: N42j/4

THE FUTURE OF MEDICARE: N.J.

HEARING

BEFORE THE

SUBCOMMITTEE ON HUMAN SERVICES

OF THE

SELECT COMMITTEE ON AGING
HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

NINETY-EIGHTH CONGRESS

FIRST SESSION

MARCH 28, 1983, PRINCETON, N.J.

Printed for the use of the Select Committee on Aging

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SELECT COMMITTEE ON AGING

EDWARD R. ROYBAL, California, Chairman

CLAUDE PEPPER, Florida
MARIO BIAGGI, New York
IKE ANDREWS, North Carolina
DON BONKER, Washington
THOMAS J. DOWNEY, New York
JAMES J. FLORIO, New Jersey
HAROLD E. FORD, Tennessee
WILLIAM J. HUGHES, New Jersey
MARILYN LLOYD, Tennessee
STAN LUNDINE, New York
MARY ROSE OAKAR, Ohio
THOMAS A. LUKEN, Ohio

GERALDINE A. FERRARO, New York
BEVERLY B. BYRON, Maryland
WILLIAM R. RATCHFORD, Connecticut
DAN MICA, Florida

HENRY A. WAXMAN, California
MIKE SYNAR, Oklahoma

BUTLER DERRICK, South Carolina
BRUCE F. VENTO, Minnesota

BARNEY FRANK, Massachusetts
TOM LANTOS, California

RON WYDEN, Oregon

DONALD JOSEPH ALBOSTA, Michigan

GEO. W. CROCKETT, JR., Michigan

WILLIAM HILL BONER, Tennessee

IKE SKELTON, Missouri

DENNIS M. HERTEL, Michigan

ROBERT A. BORSKI, Pennsylvania

FREDERICK C. (RICK) BOUCHER, Virginia

BEN ERDREICH, Alabama

BUDDY MACKAY, Florida
HARRY M. REID, Nevada
NORMAN SISISKY, Virginia
TOM VANDERGRIFF, Texas
ROBERT E. WISE, West Virginia
BILL RICHARDSON, New Mexico

MATTHEW J. RINALDO, New Jersey,
Ranking Minority Member

JOHN PAUL HAMMERSCHMIDT, Arkansas
RALPH REGULA, Ohio

NORMAN D. SHUMWAY, California
OLYMPIA J. SNOWE, Maine
JAMES M. JEFFORDS, Vermont
THOMAS J. TAUKE, Iowa

JUDD GREGG, New Hampshire
GEORGE C. WORTLEY, New York
HAL DAUB, Nebraska
LARRY E. CRAIG, Idaho
PAT ROBERTS, Kansas
COOPER EVANS, Iowa

JAMES A. COURTER, New Jersey

LYLE WILLIAMS, Ohio

CLAUDINE SCHNEIDER, Rhode Island
THOMAS J. RIDGE, Pennsylvania

JOHN MCCAIN, Arizona

MICHAEL BILIRAKIS, Florida
GEORGE W. GEKAS, Pennsylvania
MARK D. SILJANDER, Michigan
CHRISTOPHER H. SMITH, New Jersey

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CONTENTS

MEMBERS' OPENING STATEMENTS

CHRONOLOGICAL LIST OF WITNESSES

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THE FUTURE OF MEDICARE: N.J.

MONDAY, MARCH 28, 1983

U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES,

SELECT COMMITTEE ON AGING, SUBCOMMITTEE ON HUMAN SERVICES, Princeton, N.J.

The subcommittee met, pursuant to notice, at 9:30 a.m., in the council chambers of Princeton Borough Hall on Monument Drive, Princeton, N.J., Hon. Matthew J. Rinaldo (acting chairman of the subcommittee) presiding.

Members present: Representatives Rinaldo of New Jersey and Smith of New Jersey.

Staff present: Paul Schlegel, minority staff director, and Richard Bagger, minority professional staff.

OPENING STATEMENT OF CHAIRMAN MATTHEW J. RINALDO Mr. RINALDO. Good morning. This hearing of the House Select Committee on Aging will now come to order.

We are here this morning to hear testimony on the future of medicare. In July 1965, Congress added title XVIII to the Social Security Act to provide health insurance for the aged and disabled. The preamble of this historic piece of legislation declared that "access to quality health care is the right of all Americans regardless of age or ability to pay."

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Today, medicare provides health coverage to 30 million Americans. It is projected to spend about $60 billion in the coming year. In fact, medicare in 1983 will spend more in any given month than it did in the entire first year of its operation, 1966.

But we are approaching a crisis.

Health care costs continue to skyrocket. They are the only segment of the economy still experiencing double-digit inflation. Over the past 5 years, medicare costs have averaged a staggering 19 percent. Over the program's history, cost increases have outpaced the consumer price index by better than 2 to 1.

That inflation is a ticking time bomb for the medicare trust fund. Just last month, the Congressional Budget Office released a report showing that the medicare hospital insurance fund would be depleted in just 4 years, by 1987. CBO projections show that the system will have a cumulative deficit of almost $400 billion in 1995. The deficit will be $70 billion each year by the middle of the next decade.

The question we must face, and the question that hopefully we can get some answers to this morning, is: How do we protect health benefits for the elderly?

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