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SCIENTIFIC INTEGRITY AND PUBLIC TRUST: THE

SCIENCE BEHIND FEDERAL POLICIES AND MAN-
DATES: CASE STUDY 2-CLIMATE MODELS AND
PROJECTIONS OF POTENTIAL IMPACTS OF
GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE

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For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office
Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402

ISBN 0-16-052761-9

43 39551

LOLO

XL

09/97

53-005-00 GBC

COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE

ROBERT S. WALKER, Pennsylvania, Chairman F. JAMES SENSENBRENNER, JR.,

GEORGE E. BROWN, JR., California RMM* Wisconsin

RALPH M. HALL, Texas SHERWOOD L. BOEHLERT, New York JAMES A. TRAFICANT, JR., Ohio HARRIS W. FAWELL, Illinois

JAMES A. HAYES, Louisiana CONSTANCE A. MORELLA, Maryland JOHN S. TANNER, Tennessee CURT WELDON, Pennsylvania

PETE GEREN, Texas DANA ROHRABACHER, California

TIM ROEMER, Indiana STEVEN H. SCHIFF, New Mexico

ROBERT E. (Bud) CRAMER, JR., Alabama JOE BARTON, Texas

JAMES A. BARCIA, Michigan KEN CALVERT, California

PAUL MCHALE, Pennsylvania BILL BAKER, California

JANE HARMAN, California ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland

EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan**

DAVID MINGE, Minnesota ZACH WAMP, Tennessee

JOHN W. OLVER, Massachusetts DAVE WELDON, Florida

ALCEE L. HASTINGS, Florida LINDSEY O. GRAHAM, South Carolina LYNN N. RIVERS, Michigan MATT SALMON, Arizona

KAREN MCCARTHY, Missouri THOMAS M. DAVIS, Virginia

MIKE WARD, Kentucky STEVE STOCKMAN, Texas

ZOE LOFGREN, California GIL GUTKNECHT, Minnesota

LLOYD DOGGETT, Texas ANDREA H. SEASTRAND, California

MICHAEL F. DOYLE, Pennsylvania TODD TIAHRT, Kansas

SHEILA JACKSON LEE, Texas
STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma

WILLIAM P. LUTHER, Minnesota
VAN HILLEARY, Tennessee
BARBARA CUBIN, Wyoming
MARK ADAM FOLEY, Florida
SUE MYRICK, North Carolina

DAVID D. CLEMENT, Chief of Staff and Chief Counsel

BARRY BERINGER, General Counsel
TisH SCHWARTZ, Chief Clerk and Administrator
ROBERT E. PALMER, Democratic Staff Director

SUBCOMMITTEE ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT

DANA ROHRABACHER, California, Chairman HARRIS W. FAWELL, Illinois

JAMES A. HAYES, Lousiana CURT WELDON, Pennsylvania

DAVID MINGE, Minnesota ROSCOE G. BARTLETT, Maryland

JOHN W. OLVER, Massachusetts
ZACH WAMP, Tennessee

MIKE WARD, Kentucky
LINDSEY O. GRAHAM, South Carolina MICHAEL F. DOYLE, Pennsylvania
MATT SALMON, Arizona

TIM ROEMER, Indiana
THOMAS M. DAVIS, Virginia

ROBERT E. (Bud) CRAMER, JR., Alabama STEVE LARGENT, Oklahoma

JAMES A. BARCIA, Michigan BARBARA CUBIN, Wyoming

PAUL MCHALE, Pennsylvania MARK ADAM FOLEY, Florida

EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas STEVEN H. SCHIFF, New Mexico

LYNN N. RIVERS, Michigan
BILL BAKER, California

KAREN MCCARTHY, Missouri
VERNON J. EHLERS, Michigan
STEVE STOCKMAN, Texas

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*Ranking Minority Member **Vice Chairman

(II)

CONTENTS

WITNESSES

Page

130

November 16, 1995:

Panel I-Climate Models

Peter F. Guerrero, Director, Environmental Protection Issues, Resources,

Community, and Economic Development Division, United States Gen-

eral Accounting Office

Dr. Jerry D. Mahlman, Director, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory,

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Dr. Patrick J. Michaels, Assistant Professor, Department of Environ-

mental Science, University of Virginia

Panel II—Potential Impacts of Climate Change

Dr. Robert T. Watson, Associate Director of Environment, Office of

Science and Technology Policy, Executive Office of the President

Dr. William A. Nierenberg, Director Emeritus, Scripps Institution of

Oceanography

David Gardiner, Office of Policy, Planning, and Evaluation, Environ-

mental Protection Agency

Dr. Thomas Gale Moore, Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford

University

Dr. Robert W. Corell, Assistant Director for Geosciences, National Science

Foundation, and Chairman, Subcommittee on Global Change Research

APPENDIX I-OPENING STATEMENTS FOR THE RECORD

The Honorable George E. Brown, Jr., Ranking Democratic Member, Commit-

tee on Science

The Honorable Jimmy Hayes, Ranking Democratic Member, Subcommittee

on Energy and Environment

The Honorable Tim Roemer

APPENDIX II-RESPONSES TO QUESTIONS

Questions submitted by the Honorable Dana Rohrabacher, Chairman, Sub-

committee on Energy and Environment to the Honorable Warren M. Chris-

topher, Secretary of State, the Honorable_Hazel R. O'Leary, Secretary of

Energy, and the Honorable Dr. D. James Baker, Under Secretary of Com-

merce, and Administrator, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administra-

tion

Tab A: Answers to questions

Tab B (Question 1):

• Copy of the IPCC procedures for preparation, review, acceptance,

approval and publication of reports with Annexes 1 and 2* (IPCĆ

Workshop Policy and Tasks and Responsibilities for Lead Authors,

Contributors and Expert Reviewers of IPCC Reports and IPCC

Contacts)

• Timetable for production of IPCC Second Assessment Report

Tab C (Question 2):

List of individuals involved on the drafting team for the IPCC Synthesis

Report

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