turing.

Services, government and

retail trade grew in

employment the most during 1982. Jobs in the services area accounted for 50% of the total of 46,500 job increases in all non-agricultural industries. The largest increase in jobs were in the health, business, and legal services. Collectively, these sectors accounted for 75% of all job growth. Employment in this industry (services) is expected to continue growing throughout 1983. Employment in healthcare should expand during the first half of 1983. Business services are expected to fare well during the year including advertising, personnel agencies and protective service

agencies.

Government expansion occurred primarily in state and local education sectors. A little over half of the jobs created in this industry in 1982 were in these two sectors.

Employment growth in retail trade has accounted for 12.3% of all non-agricultural job growth in the County during 1982. Eating and drinking places accounted for the greatest increases. Of the 5,700 jobs created during the year, 5,200 of them were from this sector. This industry had the smallest overall employment decline of those industries declining in 1982 (-0.3%). For every 4 jobs lost, 3 were created during last year. Assuming that the economy improves in 1933, this industry will expand, particularly during the holiday seasons. Job gains in the wholesale trade industry will

probably occur slowly in 1983, continuing in the nondurable goods sector, and only expanding into other areas when

the economy improves.

Finance, insurance and real estate, and manufacturing expanded to a small degree in 1982. Because so many jobs were lost in these industries, in comparison to gains, modest increases are expected in the finance sector during 1983. Those small increases in employment occurring in manufacturing will be in women's and misses' outerwear, communication equipment, toys, and sporting goods.

Aerospace related manufacturing, after realizing job losses over the past year, should begin to stabilize during 1983. The awarding of major military contracts to this area recently has caused several primary contractors to begin hiring workers.

Emerging industries in Los Angeles will probably be those expanding in employment at this time. They will result from breakthroughs in high technology relating to computer science, electronics, electro-optics and biological engineering. The successful growth of these industries depends upon continuing investment in existing companies located in Los Angeles County.

Those industries showing the most potential for continued growth, or diversification into the above mentioned tech

nologies, are in business and health services, and in
the manufacture of plastics materials and synthetics,
structural clay products, and communication equipment.
Wholesale and retail businesses will also grow as a by-
product of the increasing demand for products and services
offered through developments by these companies.

The strategy employed in identifying skill requirements
was to equate them with cccupations in demand. Using
this orientation, an analysis of existing labor market
resource documents has been reviewed in order to
identify skill requirements. According to the Employment
Data and Research Division of the State EDD, their report
entitled "Projections of Employment 1980-85" was useful
for estimating long term job demand. Another document
published by the State EDD, entitled "Labor Supply and
Demand" was useful for estimating short term job demand.
Using these documents, together with the report called
"California Cccupational Guide", and the Bureau of Labor
Statistics report "Occupational Outlook Quarterly", occu-
pations in demand have been determined. These occupations

include:

32-647 O-84-36

Professional & Technical Occupations

Electronic Technician
Drafter, Mechanical

Nurse, General Duty and Licensed Practical

Medical Technologist

Computer Operator

Computer Programmer

Computer Systems Analyst

Computer Systems Service Technician

Dental Assistant

Clerical Workers

Clerk Typist

Data Coder Operator
Key Punch Operator
Word Processor Operator

Clerk, General

Bookkkeeper

Bank Teller

Cashier

Stock Clerk

Craftworkers

Auto Mechanic

Auto Body Repair

Electronic Mechanic

Dental Lab Technician

Operatives

Electronic Assembler

Sewing Machine Operator, Garment

Truck Driver, Light

Sales Workers

Salesperson, General Merchandise

Services

Waiter/Waitress

Cook

Nurse Aide

Security Guards

Cleaners, Commercial & Institutional

Although the unemployment rate in Los Angeles County has slowly decreased in the last few months, it still remains on an equal footing with the national rate. Since 1980, there have been at least 452 plant closures in Los Angeles

County, resulting in the loss of 49,653 jobs.

This represents over 35% of the plant closures and jobs lost in California during this period.

During 1982 alone, 57% of the plant closures in Los Angeles
County (less the cities of Long Beach, Pasadena, Glendale,
Torrance, and Los Angeles) and 90.4% of the workers dislo-
cated occurred within the County of Los Angeles. This
has had a traumatic effect on the County's labor market.
During June 1983, for example, County unemployment stood
at 10.2%, as compared with 10.3% for the State and 10.0%
for the Nation.

NOTE:

In addition to numerous small plant closures, the County has
experienced or will soon experience some major plant closure
(General Motors, Huffy Corp., Bethlehem Steel and Aeroquip)
which will affect some 7000+ employees. Employment and
training programs are one means of assisting these indivi-
duals in obtaining permanent, non-subsidized employment
and preventing them from becoming welfare recipients.

Due to short time frame, the SDA statistics for Los Angeles County concerning local conditions, incorporate the Inglewood Consortium, the Cerritos Consortium and parts of the Glendale, Pasadena and Torrance consortia. When the 2 year plan is submitted in April, 1984, the Los Angeles County SDA statistics will be more precise.