Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 8
... that reduce their accuracy . Given the complexity of these challenges , scientists believe that significant reductions in the current uncertainties of predicting cli- mate change will require sustained efforts over the next decade 8.
... that reduce their accuracy . Given the complexity of these challenges , scientists believe that significant reductions in the current uncertainties of predicting cli- mate change will require sustained efforts over the next decade 8.
Page 12
... uncertainties . We have long known that buildups of atmospheric carbon dioxide and other gases have the potential to warm earth's climate through the so - called greenhouse effect . I will emphasize only the estimated climatic effects ...
... uncertainties . We have long known that buildups of atmospheric carbon dioxide and other gases have the potential to warm earth's climate through the so - called greenhouse effect . I will emphasize only the estimated climatic effects ...
Page 14
... uncertainties will decrease and confidence for predicting climate changes will increase . In summary , the greenhouse warming effect is quite real . The state of the science is strong , but important uncertainties remain . Finally , it ...
... uncertainties will decrease and confidence for predicting climate changes will increase . In summary , the greenhouse warming effect is quite real . The state of the science is strong , but important uncertainties remain . Finally , it ...
Page 15
... UNCERTAINTIES IN CLIMATE CHANGE MODELING Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee : My name is Jerry Mahlman . I am the Director of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of NOAA in Princeton , New Jersey . For over thirty years ...
... UNCERTAINTIES IN CLIMATE CHANGE MODELING Mr. Chairman and Members of the Subcommittee : My name is Jerry Mahlman . I am the Director of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of NOAA in Princeton , New Jersey . For over thirty years ...
Page 17
... uncertainties remain due to deficiencies in our scientific understanding and in computer power . However , significant progress is expected over the next 10 years . The uncertainty in such areas as ocean circulation , cloud processes ...
... uncertainties remain due to deficiencies in our scientific understanding and in computer power . However , significant progress is expected over the next 10 years . The uncertainty in such areas as ocean circulation , cloud processes ...
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activities adaptation aerosols AGBM agricultural analysis anthropogenic areas assumptions atmosphere baseline biomass bottom-up carbon dioxide carbon sequestration carbon tax climate change climate models climate system CO₂ emissions concentrations Convention cost-effective costs Dana Rohrabacher developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors Figure forest forestry fossil fuels future gases Gigagrams Global Change global climate global warming greenhouse gas emissions growth human impacts implementation improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issues land methane mitigation ocean OECD options Panel Parties policies and measures potential predictions production projections radiative forcing range reduce emissions regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations sources studies Summary for Policymakers Table technical technologies temperature top-down transport uncertainties UNEP United USGCRP