Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 76
... Scenario projections might even be more accurate because we're getting into two different things . Mr. ROHRABACHER ... scenarios and forecasts , predictions and projections , and models and reality . Mr. ROHRABACHER . One last note ...
... Scenario projections might even be more accurate because we're getting into two different things . Mr. ROHRABACHER ... scenarios and forecasts , predictions and projections , and models and reality . Mr. ROHRABACHER . One last note ...
Page 77
... scenarios that they could model . And so the outcome was not indeed then , based on the models themselves , but based on expert judgment . Mr. ROHRABACHER . Because maybe they don't believe in the mod- els ? Mr. GUERRERO . Well , they ...
... scenarios that they could model . And so the outcome was not indeed then , based on the models themselves , but based on expert judgment . Mr. ROHRABACHER . Because maybe they don't believe in the mod- els ? Mr. GUERRERO . Well , they ...
Page 87
... scenarios , produced for the first meeting of the Conference of Parties to the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change ( UNFCCC ) ( IPCC , 1994a ) . The IPCC methodology for assessing climate change impacts and adaptation measures ...
... scenarios , produced for the first meeting of the Conference of Parties to the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change ( UNFCCC ) ( IPCC , 1994a ) . The IPCC methodology for assessing climate change impacts and adaptation measures ...
Page 95
... scenarios . Economic Growth 1990-2025 : 2.9 % 1990-2100 : 2.3 % 1990-2025 : 2.0 % 1990-2100 : 1.2 % 1990-2025 : 2.7 ... Scenario IS92a , b World Bank 1991 11.3 billion by 2100 IS92c UN Medium - Low Case 6.4 billion by 2100 IS92d UN ...
... scenarios . Economic Growth 1990-2025 : 2.9 % 1990-2100 : 2.3 % 1990-2025 : 2.0 % 1990-2100 : 1.2 % 1990-2025 : 2.7 ... Scenario IS92a , b World Bank 1991 11.3 billion by 2100 IS92c UN Medium - Low Case 6.4 billion by 2100 IS92d UN ...
Page 102
... scenarios . Region Crop Yield Impact ( % ) Comments Latin America Maize -61 to increase Wheat -50 to -5 Soybean -10 ... scenarios , with and without CO2 effect . Data are from Argentina , Uruguay , and Brazil ; range is across GCM ...
... scenarios . Region Crop Yield Impact ( % ) Comments Latin America Maize -61 to increase Wheat -50 to -5 Soybean -10 ... scenarios , with and without CO2 effect . Data are from Argentina , Uruguay , and Brazil ; range is across GCM ...
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activities adaptation aerosols AGBM agricultural analysis anthropogenic areas assumptions atmosphere baseline biomass bottom-up carbon dioxide carbon sequestration carbon tax climate change climate models climate system CO₂ emissions concentrations Convention cost-effective costs Dana Rohrabacher developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors Figure forest forestry fossil fuels future gases Gigagrams Global Change global climate global warming greenhouse gas emissions growth human impacts implementation improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issues land methane mitigation ocean OECD options Panel Parties policies and measures potential predictions production projections radiative forcing range reduce emissions regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations sources studies Summary for Policymakers Table technical technologies temperature top-down transport uncertainties UNEP United USGCRP