Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 8
... predict fu- ture climate . The forum participants felt certain some of these predictions were more probable than others . For example , an increase in the global surface temperature from one to 3.5 degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2050 ...
... predict fu- ture climate . The forum participants felt certain some of these predictions were more probable than others . For example , an increase in the global surface temperature from one to 3.5 degrees Fahrenheit by the year 2050 ...
Page 9
... predictions.1 These sophisticated com- puter models consist of complex mathematical equations that represent various ... predict climatic change : at- mospheric , oceanic , and coupled . In general , atmospheric models predict the ...
... predictions.1 These sophisticated com- puter models consist of complex mathematical equations that represent various ... predict climatic change : at- mospheric , oceanic , and coupled . In general , atmospheric models predict the ...
Page 11
... predict . Scientists estimate that cold start error causes models to underestimate temperature changes , resulting in projections of av- erage annual temperatures that differ by as much as 0.7 degrees after 50 years . Months of ...
... predict . Scientists estimate that cold start error causes models to underestimate temperature changes , resulting in projections of av- erage annual temperatures that differ by as much as 0.7 degrees after 50 years . Months of ...
Page 12
... prediction that is accompanied by a policy opin- ion . At the onset , please recognize that a major international effort ... predictions of climate change in the middle of the next century by using very simple bet- ting odds . When I say ...
... prediction that is accompanied by a policy opin- ion . At the onset , please recognize that a major international effort ... predictions of climate change in the middle of the next century by using very simple bet- ting odds . When I say ...
Page 13
... predict a marked decrease of soil moisture and elevated temperatures over summer mid - latitude continents . This ... predictions . Regional and temporal details of the next 25 years : uncertain . The predicted warming up to now is ...
... predict a marked decrease of soil moisture and elevated temperatures over summer mid - latitude continents . This ... predictions . Regional and temporal details of the next 25 years : uncertain . The predicted warming up to now is ...
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activities adaptation aerosols AGBM agricultural analysis anthropogenic areas assumptions atmosphere baseline biomass bottom-up carbon dioxide carbon sequestration carbon tax climate change climate models climate system CO₂ emissions concentrations Convention cost-effective costs Dana Rohrabacher developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors Figure forest forestry fossil fuels future gases Gigagrams Global Change global climate global warming greenhouse gas emissions growth human impacts implementation improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issues land methane mitigation ocean OECD options Panel Parties policies and measures potential predictions production projections radiative forcing range reduce emissions regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations sources studies Summary for Policymakers Table technical technologies temperature top-down transport uncertainties UNEP United USGCRP