Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
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... worst - case scenarios and how we might best prevent them . Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change , Sunstein describes Our susceptibility to two opposite reactions ... WORST - CASE SCENARIOS WORST - CASE SCENARIOS Cass R.
... worst case but on the probability that it will come about . Perhaps you will decide to create a special " margin of safety , " or buffer zone , 2 WORST - CASE SCENARIOS.
... worst outcomes . But even if you do so , you will probably think a lot before deciding on the right margin of safety , and you will pay a great deal of attention to the probability of harm . The same point holds for governments . For ...
... worst - case scenario is awful enough , we might well treat a small probability as if it were much larger . But on reflection , is this really wise ? One problem is that re- sponses to worst - case scenarios can be both burdensome and ...
... worst - case scenarios and in particular their susceptibility to two opposite problems : excessive overreaction and utter neglect . As we shall see , both problems affect individuals and governments alike . The second goal is to ...