Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... risk of a catastrophic or irreversible harm is enough to require a serious response . But consider an obvious objection to this position . A 1 percent chance of a terrible outcome is a lot better than a certainty of a ter- rible outcome ...
... risk of a terrible outcome , might create larger risks of a different but also terrible outcome . If the United States attacked an unfriendly nation to eliminate the ( low probability ? ) danger that it poses , the attack would likely ...
... risk at all . In fact , human beings face risks of different degrees of probability . It is a pervasive and damaging mistake to think that " safety " comes with an on - off switch . Worst cases everywhere In some contexts , people are ...
... risks by saying that they prefer the way that they now live . These various points help to clarify the current debate over risk regulation in poor countries . Of course it is preposterous to say that the inhabitants of one nation are ...
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