Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... less than en- vironmentalists who focus on species loss , climate change , and ge- netic modification of food , Vice President Cheney urged that gov- ernments should identify , and attempt to prevent , the worst - case scenario . Indeed ...
... less than the rest of us , the probability of harm matters a great deal , and it is foolish to attend exclusively to the worst - case scenario . Suppose there is a 99 percent chance that a new law will increase national security , and a ...
... less technical , about whether and how to turn risks and worst cases into monetary equivalents . What matters is well- being , not money , and money is a poor proxy for well - being.5 Nonetheless , I shall offer a qualified defense of ...
... less " than the inhabitants of another . But as we shall see , it is not preposterous to say that a rich nation rightly spends more to reduce a mortality risk of 1 in 100,000 than a poor nation does . Chapter 6 explores one of the most ...
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