Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... idea about the likelihood of a terrible outcome , or that they are able to specify only a wide range — believing , for example , that the risk of a catastrophic climate change is over 1 percent but below 20 percent . Even when ...
... idea of cost - benefit analysis raises many questions , both technical and less technical , about whether and how to turn risks and worst cases into monetary equivalents . What matters is well- being , not money , and money is a poor ...
... idea of irreversibility , which can be understood in several different ways . Another problem is that precautionary steps may be irreversible too , even if they merely involve expenditures . But the central point remains : Sensible ...
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