Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... harm is enough to require a serious response . But consider an obvious objection to this position . A 1 percent ... harm and the magnitude of harm . If you face a 1 per- cent chance of getting sick , you should act differently from how ...
... harm . The same point holds for governments . For public officials no less than the rest of us , the probability of harm matters a great deal , and it is foolish to attend exclusively to the worst - case scenario . Suppose there is a 99 ...
... Harm Precautionary Principle , designed to provide guidance for dealing with extremely serious risks . This principle emphasizes the need to attend to both the magnitude and the probability of the harm . It also emphasizes that when ...
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