Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... attention to the probability of harm . The same point holds for governments . For public officials no less than the rest of us , the probability of harm matters a great deal , and it is foolish to attend exclusively to the worst - case ...
... attention . If a risk is perceived to fall below a certain threshold , it might not affect our behavior at all . Our intuitions can lead to both too much and too little concern with low - probability risks . When judgments are based on ...
... present instructive polar cases : The first is peculiarly likely to pro- duce close attention to worst - case scenarios , while the latter is es- pecially unlikely to do so . An understanding of Americans 12 WORST - CASE SCENARIOS.
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