Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... , of their probability , and of the burdens and risks of responding to them , we will often be in a good position to know what to do . When probabilities cannot be assigned to the worst - case 8 WORST - CASE SCENARIOS.
... assigned , a great deal of progress can be made if we ask how much is lost by eliminating the worst - case scenario and by specifying the difference between the worst case and next - worst case . As we shall see , the problem of irre ...
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