Worst-Case ScenariosHarvard University Press, 2009 M05 15 - 352 pages Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction? |
From inside the book
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... analysis , Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst - case scenarios and how we might best prevent them . Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change , Sunstein describes Our susceptibility to two opposite reactions ...
... analysis , especially when dealing with harms that will not come to fruition in the near future . Cost - bene- fit analysis is at best a proxy for what really matters , which is well- being rather than money ; but sometimes proxies can ...
... analysis , they are more likely to be accurate , certainly if the analysis can be trusted . But for most people , intuitions rooted in actual experience are a much more powerful motivating force . An important task , for individuals and ...
... analysis has raised serious cautionary notes about some proposed efforts to pro- tect against climate change . The idea of cost - benefit analysis raises many questions , both technical and less technical , about whether and how to turn ...
... analysis , a particularly thorny ques- tion is how to handle future generations when they are threatened by worst - case scenarios . According to standard practice , money that will come in the future must be " discounted " ; a dollar ...