Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the FuturePsychology Press, 2002 - 219 pages Quester (government and politics, U. of Maryland) counts the fall of communism as good news, but is troubled by the news part: the fact that it was totally unpredicted by political science challenges the discipline's claim to be a science at all. He reviews and scores the discipline's forecasts over the years, looking for strands of predictive logic that might be extracted to be used for the future. Distributed in the US by ISBS. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR |
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Contents
Some Barriers to Thinking About Conventional Defense | 99 |
Stable Deterrent or | 113 |
Americas Response to the New World Disorder | 133 |
The Gains and Costs of NonLethal Warfare | 157 |
International | 171 |
The Continuing Debate on Minimal Deterrence | 185 |
Some Conclusions | 209 |
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Common terms and phrases
American analysts antenna arguments army atomic bomb attack become Beijing broadcast Canadian chemical warfare chemical weapons Chinese Communists civilian Cold Cold War combat communist regimes conventional counterforce countervalue countries crisis stability cultural Czechoslovakia defense democracy detonated diplomatic disappointment discussion East German Eastern Europe economic ethnic example female Finland first-strike foreign policy future Germany Hong Kong IAEA Indian Israel Israeli issue Korea less liberal Marxist military minimal deterrence missile Moscow Nationalist nations non-lethal North Korea nuclear arsenals nuclear deterrence nuclear forces nuclear proliferation nuclear warheads nuclear weapons offensive offer Pakistan peace Peking People's Republic perhaps plutonium Poland political possible predict problem programs radio reactors Republic of China role rule Russian Saddam Hussein satellite side side's simply South Asian Soviet Union standards strategic Taiwan targets television signals threat transmissions treaty United USSR viewers Warsaw Pact West Western women York
References to this book
The Power of International Theory: Reforging the Link to Foreign Policy ... Fred Chernoff No preview available - 2005 |