Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the FutureQuester (government and politics, U. of Maryland) counts the fall of communism as good news, but is troubled by the news part: the fact that it was totally unpredicted by political science challenges the discipline's claim to be a science at all. He reviews and scores the discipline's forecasts over the years, looking for strands of predictive logic that might be extracted to be used for the future. Distributed in the US by ISBS. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR |
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Contents
Some Barriers to Thinking About Conventional Defense | 99 |
Stable Deterrent or | 113 |
Americas Response to the New World Disorder | 135 |
The Gains and Costs of NonLethal Warfare | 157 |
International | 171 |
The Continuing Debate on Minimal Deterrence | 185 |
Some Conclusions | 209 |
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Common terms and phrases
already American analysts arguments arms army arsenals atomic attack authorities avoided become bombs broadcast chemical China Chinese choice cities civilian claim Cold combat communist compared concerned considerations continue conventional costs countries course cultural defense deterrence difficult direct discussion East German Eastern Europe economic effect European example fear feel female Finland forces foreign policy future Germany given greater human important Indian interest issue keep kind least less liberal major Marxism military minimal missile moral move Nationalist never noted nuclear forces nuclear weapons offensive offer officers Pakistan peace perhaps political possible predict Press problem produce programs question reasons regard regime relations remain Republic role rule side signals simply South South Korea Soviet Union standards Taiwan television threat tradition United University USSR warfare warheads West Western women York
References to this book
The Power of International Theory: Reforging the Link to Foreign Policy ... Fred Chernoff No preview available - 2005 |
Bibliographic information
| Title | Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the Future Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the Future, George H. Quester World History Series |
| Author | George H. Quester |
| Edition | illustrated, annotated |
| Publisher | Psychology Press, 2002 |
| ISBN | 0714652296, 9780714652290 |
| Length | 219 pages |
| Export Citation | BiBTeX EndNote RefMan |