Before and After the Cold War: Using Past Forecasts to Predict the Future

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Psychology Press, 2002 - 219 pages
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Quester (government and politics, U. of Maryland) counts the fall of communism as good news, but is troubled by the news part: the fact that it was totally unpredicted by political science challenges the discipline's claim to be a science at all. He reviews and scores the discipline's forecasts over the years, looking for strands of predictive logic that might be extracted to be used for the future. Distributed in the US by ISBS. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

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Contents

Some Barriers to Thinking About Conventional Defense
99
Stable Deterrent or
113
Americas Response to the New World Disorder
135
The Gains and Costs of NonLethal Warfare
157
International
171
The Continuing Debate on Minimal Deterrence
185
Some Conclusions
209
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George H. Quester

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