The Kyoto Protocol and Its Economic Implications

NATIONAL ENERGY MODELING SYSTEM

Table 62. Emissions by NERC Region (million short tone) except Carbon and Carbon Dioxide (million metric tone)

(2)

2000 2000 2000 2000 12005 2005 2005 2005 |2010 2010 2010 2010 2015 2035 2015
2016 2020 2020 2020 2020
(9) 1(2) (3) (2) (4) 1(1) (2) (3) (4) 1(2) (2) (L (0) 1001 (3) (3)

1574.1 567.3 564.5 565.21617.3 583.1 579.) 574.21659.7 437.3 382.5 342.0/704.0 419.0 334.5 277.71739.2 414.1 313.3 260.9
2105 2000 2070 2072 2263 2130 2124 2105 2419 1603 1402 1257 2501 1536 2163 1010| 2721 1510 1149 956.4
110.19 10.19 10.42 10.13| 9.69 9.49 9.69 9.69 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00
6.15 6.00 6.04 6.04 6.29 5.94 5.90 5.45| 6.40 3.04 3.25 2.70 6.75 3.29 2.04 1.571 6.94 3.15 1.86 1.16

lectric Reliability Council D |

1129.0 126.2 125.7 126.1/135.7 138.8 128.4 120.1143.8 99.5 93.60 86.31|149.2 80.15 71.04 64.37 255.3 74.48 58.55 $2.20 1472.9 462.7 461.0 462.4|497.4 472.4 470.9 459.71527.3 364.7 343.2 316.4|547.0 293.9 260.5 235.31569.6 273.1 214.7 191.7 | 3.39 1.68 3.57 3.51 3.33 3.43 3.33 3.33| 2.98 4.07 4.43 4.76 2.84 3.10 4.73 5.89 2.00 2.33 1.99 3.30 1.50 1.47 1.46 1.47 1.55 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.61 1.00 .96 .89 1.64 .63 .59 .53 1.60 .40 .29 .23 145.92 45.73 45.72 45.74|47.40 46.25 46.17 46.07150.00 29.13 26.67 25.58152.61 27.66 22.18 20.70154.64 27.34 21.95 19.40 160.4 167.7 167.6 167.7|173.0 169.6 169.3 168.9|183.3 107.6 97.80 93.77|192.9 101.4 42.32 75.89|200.3 100.2 80.11 71.14 .35 .35 .35 .35 .34 .35 .34 .35 .34 .09 .06 .00 .33 .14 .13 .19 .32 .14 .19 .53 .47 .47 .47 .47 .43 .43 .42 .38 .23 .22 .21 .38 .35 .10 .10 .39 .15 .10 .07

[34.48 33.00 23.62 33.04/35.70 34.34 33.50 33.47139.69 30.39 27.04 24.06141.62 20.36 21.40 19.70145.23 27.06 23.07 10.24 126.0 123.9 123.3 124.1130.9 125.9 123.1 122.7/145.5 111.4 99.2 84.20 152.6 104.0 70.48 12.23 165.8 99.2 77.24 66.86 .55 .61 1.10 1.221 .54 .63 1.04 1.05 .50 .51 .04 .77 .50 .53 .41 .52 .35 .64 .63 .39 .29 .29 .291 .20 .27 .26 .26 .30 .19 .26 .31 .16 .10 .001 .33 .09 .07 I

וכן.

عد.

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Nitrogen Oxide.

.52

.55 .60 .37 ་་་ .54 .25 .17

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40.87 40.78 40.53 40.27/44.56 37.66 37.83 37.94147.70 30.30 24.00 22.06150.20 72.12 24.39 22.00153.30 31.30 24.46 20.00 |149.8 149.5 148.5 147.7|163.4 130.4 130.7 139.1|174.9 111.1 91.20 83.83|184.1 117.0 89.41 80.65|391.8 314.0 89.67 73.34 .00* .99 .971 .70 .75 .73 .521 .52 .45 .44 1

.31.62 .90 .50 .141 .56 .29 .13

.301 .57 1.14 1.00 .67 .301 .59 .29 .15 .09

9.41/42.13 14.62 9.21 0.10

132.60 33.54 31.76 31.78137.10 34.89 34.04 33.53|30.05 24.95 17.50 15.30/41.10 21.00 10.00 1119.0 135.6 116.4 116.5/136.0 327.9 134.0 122.9142.5 91.47 64.47 56.09/150.7 77.28 36.67 34.52|354.5 53.62 33.70 29.98 .42 .40 .40 .401 .44 .30 .30 .43 .32 .23 .23 .42 .20 .02 .03 .40 .17 .01 .02 .39 .30 .30 .301 .43 .41 .40 .39 45 .24 .36 .13.45 .04 .10 .04 .46 .11 .04 1 1

113.50 13.50 13.41 13.45/13.11 12.56 12.32 12.27|14.04 10.05 10.13 10.57 15.26 10.60 9.65 9.72116.16 10.70 9.50 149.51 49.50 49.17 49.32148.06 46.06 45.19 45.00/$1.40 39.79 37.13 30.75155.97 38.00 35.40 35.64159.26 39.23 35.13 33.55 .24 .24 .26 .26 .20 .20 .20 .20 .39 .15 .14 .12 .27 .34 .15 .20 .16 .16 .21 .36 .21 .11 .11 .11 .09 .00 .08 .00 .09 .05 .04 .04.09 .05 .04 .04 .09 .05 .04 .03 I [11.59 11.52 11.50 11.60|14.59 14.15 14.26 14.24 14.97 10.46 8.94114.95 10.00 0.52 0.25115.50 9.59 0.50 142.50 42.25 42.44 42.53/53.48 $1.90 52.20 52.23|54.90 38.34 34.10 32.77154.82 36.60 31.23 30.24156.05 35.15 31.47 30.86 .18 .18 .16 .મ .20 .19 .17 .17 .17 .08 .05 .051 .16.09 .07 .111 .14 .07 .00 10 10 .10 101 .11 .11 11 .111 12 05 .04 041 21 04 .04.13 Reference Demand Technology (1), fee150.8012298 (2), (ee700 do12298a (3), fee250.d012298a (4) ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION

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8.42

newbase, d012198

NATIONAL BNBRGY MODELING SYSTEM
Table 62. Imissions by MERC Region (million abort tons) (Continued)
except Carbon and Carbon Dioxide Imillion metric tons)

.60 .60 .60 .co .64 .65 .65

כן,

2000 2000 2000 2000 12005 2005 2005 2005 2010 2010 2010 2010 12035 2015 2015 2015 |2020 2020 2020 2020
|(2) (2) (0) (6) 1(32 __(3) (3) (1) 10) (2) (00) (4) 1(3) (2) (2) 0 102 (2) (3)
126.40 25.97 25.66 25.75/30.55 26.56 26.65 26.52132.80 21.34 20.35 19.53|37.72 22.49 19.55 10.03143.57 26.13 22.37 10.36
197.09 95.23 94.10 94.41/112.0 97.38 97.73 97.23|120.2 70.25 74.63 71.59/138.3 83.45 71.67 66.11|159.7 95.00 82.01 67.32
.40 .35 .32 .32 .35 .34 .31 .311 .33 .21 .19 .21 .36 .22 .24 .24 .0 .32 .35 .38
.29 .20 .20 .20 .32 .28 .20 .20 .33 .10 .17 .16 .37 .17
.11.4 .22 .16 .10
1104.0 104.1 102.3 102.3|112.6 111.1 110.1 109.2/120.6 06.25 75.37 67.52/130.9 88.54 61.76 50.96|135.0 90.70 68.50 $2.89
1301.3 381.9 375.2 375.2|412.4 407.2 403.7 400.51442.3 308.9 276.3 247.61480.0 324.6 236.4 106.01497.0 362.3 251.2 193.9
2.64 2.26 2.12 2.09 2.51 2.31 2.11 2.11 2.39 2.29 2.27 2.17 2.66 3.01 2.10 2.301 2.74 3.60 3.06 1.94
1.06 1.07 1.04 1.04 1.12 1.11 1.10 1.09 1.17 .79 .70 .59 1.24 .02 .44 .26 1.22 .91 .52 .24
159.92 59.07 59.21 59.30|65.03 61.01 60.41 59.81/60.41 41.09 33.36 29.69170.22 40.53 36.10 24.40172.96 30.25 27.77 22.65
1219.7 216.6 217.1 217.7|230.4 223.7 221.5 219.3|250.8 153.6 122.3 108.91257.5 148.6 95.60 89.44/267.5 140.3 101.8 83.03
.651 .62 .35 .23 .371 .59 .43 .25 .23 .56 .30 .36 .83
.641 .71 .39 .29 .261 .69 .34 .15
.13 .70 .32 .17 .31
1
124.84 24.74 24.72 24.03 20.20 27.92 27.67 20.65/29.74 18.00 15.47 10.95/31.31 20.72 12.23 9.97 32.57 20.00 13.04 9.13
192.07 90.70 90.64 91.03|103.4 102.4 101.4 105.0109.1 66.00 56.73 40.16/114.8 75.99 44.83 36.56/119.4 73.32 50.73 33.47
.14 .26 .15 .16 .25 .16 .15 .151 .34 .04 .D4 .011 .13 .00 .03 .02 .12 .07 .05 .01
.24 .24 .23 .24 .24
.24 .241 .25 .12 .10 .041 .26 .15 .06 .041 .26 .14 .04 .03
127.99 27.90 27.92 20.09|30.32 20.50 20.23 27.35131.98 21.09 16.59 14.59/33.10 21.09 16.09 32.91/24.21 21.90 16.06 14.81
1102.6 102.3 102.4 103.0/111.2 104.8 103.5 100.3/117.3 77.32 60.85 $3.49|121.4 80.25 61.93 47.341225.4 80.60 61.03 $4.30
.21.21 .21 .22 .20 .20 .20 .19 .30 .16 .13 .11 .16 .19 .22 .10 .26 .29 .24 .49
.30 .30 .30 .29 .31 .29 .29 .20 .31 .19 .13 .11 .32 .20 .13 .00 .32 .20 .13 .10
22.07 22.37 22.37 21.98|22.53 19.29 19.50 16.98|27.12 14.96 12.16 6.93135.02 14.01 10.81 7.50/38.87 13.89 10.67 7.35
10).05 02.03 02.04 80.58j82.62 70.72 71.79 62.261 99.4 54.84 44.59 25.42|131.4 54.32 39.64 27.51142.5 50.93 39.14 26.95
.00 .00 .00 .00 .00 .08 .00 .00 .00
.01 .011 .00 .05 .02 .03 .00 .04 .02 .03
.19 .19 .19 .101 .18 .16 .16 .14 .23 .12 .09 .041 .32 .11 .07 .03 .35 .09 .06 .02

.69 .67 .67 .48.70 .65 .65

.24

9 Tax Reference Demand Technology (1), (00150.de12290 (2), fee200.8012298 (3), fee250.do13299a_(4) BNERGY. INFORMATION

ADMINISTRATION

NATIONAL BEERGY MODELING SYSTEN Table 117, National Jepacts of the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 (CAAA90)

ΤΟ

(1)

(2)

.00 .00 .00 .001 .00 .00 .00

.001 .00 .00 .00 .001

2005 12010 2010 2010 2010 2015 2015 2016 2015 12020 2020 2020 2020 (0) (2) (0 (3) (3) (3) (4) .00 . .co

בו

.00 .00 .00

.001 .00 .00

.00 .00 .00 .001 .00 .00 .00 .001 .00 .00 .00 133.7 62.63 77.26 88.93181.4 119.0 145.1 134.71224.4

.00 .00

.001 .00 .00 .00 .00/101.9 .00 .00

.00

.00 .00

icrubber Retrofits (gigawatts)..|

.001 .00 .00 166.9 .00 .00 .00

302 Bmissions (million tons)....110.19 10.19 10.42 10.33| 9.69 9.69 9.69 9.691 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00

Coal Production by Sylfur Categ.:

(million tons)

Low Sulfur (< .61 lbs /em@tu).. 1474.6 454.0 451.1 453.61538.1 478.8 481.4 477.61608.4 229.2 163.2 125.01667.5 227.9 105.7 74.311697.6 199.4 103.9 64.44
Hed. Sulfur(.61-1.67 lbs. 8/«mātu) |493.2 484.2 482.1 486.3|482.7 471.3 465.6 465.6|467.1 317.1 285.0 250.7|459.8 279.6 219.8 197.0|454.4 270.8 200.7 176.0
High Sulfur (> 1.67 lba.S/mpātu) |178.4 197.1 195.6 190.4|185.9 185.5 101.2 100.9|200.1 130.0 134.0 90.04|196.6 134.5 70.04 54.92|214.5 131.5 66.62 30.54

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newbase.d012198 O Tax, Reference Demand Technology (3), foo250.de12398 (3) fee200.de122904 (3), Lee250.0012296a (4) INFORMATION

ENERGY

ADMINISTRATION

Crude Oil & Lease Condensate. |13.06 13.06/12.33 12.25 11.60 11.37/11.07 10.21/10.33
Natural Gas Plant Liquids...
Dry Natural Gas

basumption

Petroleum Products
Natural Gas.

Coal..

Nuclear Power

Renewable Energy

ocher ....

Total.........

Set Importa - Petroleum

Prices (1996 dollars per unit)

9.29

2.39 2.36 2.63 2.52| 2.93 3.19| 3.28 3.27 3.30 3.34
20.85 20.66|22.03 21.94|25.30 27.25|26.72 27.94|20.12 28.54
124.33 23.90|25.52 23.00|26.50 9.35|27.64 6.98|28.37 5.81
17.36 7.361 6.87 6.071 6.30 6.361 5.12 5.124.09 4.20
16.42 7.021 7.21 0.43 7.43 21.841 7.86 14.88 0.19 17.02
1.56 .55 .55 .54 .40 .601 .64 1.10.09 1.12
|75.36 74.99|77.84 76.40180.79 69.95182 32 69.49103.29 69.33

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38.37 38.24|41.38 40.58|44.37 39.56|46.21 39.94|47.69 40.42
124.76 24.57|26.93 26.00|29.57 32.13|31.32 33.12|33.00 34.10
|22.13 21.79|23.11 21.40/23.91 6.77|24.07 4.20|25.40 3.02
7.36 7.36 6.07 6.17| 6.36 6.361 5.32 5.121 4.09 4.20

· 6.82 7.021 7.12 8.42| 7.43 11.05 1.00 14.901 8.22 17.05
.41 .37 .37 .40 1.19 .41 1.201 .43 1.22
99.4 99.41105.8 103.6|112.0 97.85|115.0 90.40/110.0 99.0

21.04 21.77|25.00 25.29|20.97 24.73|31.30 25.47|33.26 26.09
1

World Oil Price ($ per bb1).19.12 19.04/20.25 19.76/20.00 17.82/21.17 17.51|21.82 10.92
Gas Wellhead Price ($ / Net). 2.13 2.13 2.15 2.021 2.26 2.00 2.32 2.971 2.49 2.78
Coal Minemouth Price ($/ ton). 117.36 17.33/16.00 16.14 14.87 19.06|13.88 18.77 13.26 18.68
Aver. Electricity (ceats / kwh) | 6.5 6.5 6.2 6.21 6.0 10.6 5.6 10.21 3.5 10.1
1
Deubase 4012199a - Tax, Reference Demand Technology (1), {ee300 40122908 (2)
ENERGY INFORMATION ADMINISTRATION

E. Unless otherwise Noted)

12000 2000 12005 2005 12010.2010 2015 2015 |2020 2020 பட (2) 143) (3) [(31) (2) 1(1) (3) (1) (2)

1.3

20.31 24.3 19.9 66.81 14.1 68.6

125.0 25.7 25.0 24.0 24.0 20.61 24.6 | 77.0 76.8 78.7 70.4| 81.3 65.81 04.0 | 1.4 2.4 2.4 1.4 2.4 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 |201.) 197.5/215.6 196.9/229.8 104.91247.9 88.7/265.0 02.5 305.5 301.4|320.7 301.51237.3 192.61357.9 177.0|377.5 172.2

12.9 12.6 12.9 13.8 12.0 12.0 12.7 11.9 12.5 11.7 ·| 49.9 49.41 52.1 51.21 94.3 47.41 55.5 47.0 55.6 47.6 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.41 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 |102.1 179.4|192.6 179.0|204.1 94.3/226.9 70.01223.9 69.6 |247.1 244.1|260.1 246.2|273.5 156.2/287.7 140.3|294.4 131.4

103.3 102.71109.6 107.2|115.4 102.0|118.6 103.7|119.3 101.4 1155.5 154.3|150.6 153.5|166.0 144.0/167.2 139.8|167.9 141.2 60.4 59.41 62.3 57.8 62.7 46.3 61.6 44.3 60.6 42.1 .107.5 186.1|20).0 107.11217.0 110.0/220.5 91.91237.4 81.7 1506.0 500.5/533.5 sos.51562.2 402.41575.9 379.7/505.3 366.4

|502.7 502.31552.7 549.21600.6 633.1|620.1 $31.6|649.0 544.2 12.1 12.0 20.5 24.3| 17.2 17.21 18.3 10.1| 19.7 19.5 .3 .1 S .5 1.4 1.0 2.7 2.2 3.3 3.2 5.9 5.61 0.7 4.3 120.7 4.11 22.2 4.1 |510.2 517.71573.6 569.6|627.9 555.71659.4 555.7/683.6 569.9

1.2 2.2

1644.7 643.51700.3 693.91753.6 667.8|764.0 667.6|805.1 677.1 |294.5 292.71303.9 297.4|310.6 274.41325.0 272.5|329.3 276.9 64.2 63.1 66.0 61.5| 66.3 50.91 65.5 48.0 64.5 45.9 .2 .11 .5 .5 2.4 1.2 2.2 1.0 2.7 2.2 1574.2 564.31627.3 $69.41659.7 313.51704.0 262.0|739.2 238.0 1578 1564| 1680 1623 1800 1307) 1801 1253|1941 1240

2.4

11.2 10.1 9.2 8.21 8.2 7.2 7.6 4.0 7.8 60.0 59.01 81.0 75.2/104.9 186.3|123.7 303.6/263.6 212.2 1502.9 495.11526.3 486.1|546.7 120.1|572.7 56.21507.9 22.9 |574.1 564.2|617.3 569.41659.7 313.5/704.0 262.01739.2 230.0

1655.9 653.71709.3 702.0|761.0 674.9|791.7 671.61013.9 679.9 |354.5 351.71395.7 372.61623.5 460.8|448.7 475.11472.8 489.3 |567.1 558.2|592.3 547.6|613,3 170.1638.2 104.21652.4 60.7 .1 .1 .S .5 1.4 1.2 2.2 1.8 2.7 2.2 1578 1564 1600 1623| 1000 1307| 1001 1253| 1941 1240

5.7 5.7 5.9

3.71 6.0

4.41 6.0

4.0 6.0 3.0 O Tax Reference Decand Technology (1), tea300.d022298 (2)

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