The Kyoto Protocol and Its Economic Implications

NATIONAL EN IRGY MODILENG
Tabl. 62. Busions by MERC Legion million short tons)
except Carboe and Carbon Dioxide (

allon metric tooo) 1

1 12900 2000 2000 2006 2005 2005 2005 2006 2010 2010 2010 2010 2015 2013 2015 2015 2020 7990 2020 2010 (2) LO 121 1o (231

(2)

122
Missions..

1
Ditad States

1574.1 575.7 57.3 565.1917.) 611.9 610.1 516. 1659.7 657.7 609.6 527.31104. 696.7 613.4 5.3.679.2 711.5 €) 550..

705 21 2106 2015| 2263 2265 2217 21501 2431 2411 2234 19151 2501 2555 232219571 2711 760 2436 2020 sulfur dioxide.

110.19 10.1) 10.19 10.11 ).6) 7.6) 7.69 9.651 7.00 9.00 9. DO Kitrogen Oxide

2.001 9.00 9.00 9.00 .001 .00 9.00.00 9.00 tast Cent. Area Reliability 1

6.15 6.17 6.16 6.10 6.25 6.25 6.10 1.*| 6.40 6.44 5.0 6.891 6.75 6.6 5.61 4.70 6.9 6. 5."
1

1
Tor Carboa..
arbon Dioxide

1135.9 129.1 129.1 127.01139.7 116.5 136. 139.410.5 10.7 110.1 106.51101.2 146.6 114.6 ".01155.J 195.S 1.6 105.
Qullur Diorida.

1972.) 473.5 671.4 163.71997.6 501.6 492.9 174.51537.) 521.0 476.9 190.61547.0 544.5 4.. 16. 1156.6 570. s. 10.) Nitrogen Oxide.

1.1 1.61 1.01 3.601 1.3 1.5) 3.46 3.411 2.1.10 ). 3.201 2.9 1.16).22 3.011 7.56 5.16 2.02 1.13
Slectric Reliability Council !
1 1.59 1.50 1.50 1.41 1.95 1.57 1.92 1.41 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.01 1.6 1.6) 1.42.1 1.6 1.6 1.05 ."

1
Total Carbon..
Carbon Dioxide.

Ies.? 45.91 s.as us.74147.40 47.40 67.26 46.27150.00 9.10 9.62 3.86152.61 51.91 07.59 36.411.c 54.40 so.01 30.01
wulfur dioxide.

1160.4 166.3 166.3 167.71111.1 173.6 19.4 149.7110.) 102.6 167.3 124.31192.9 190.) 174.5 133.5|200.) 195.5 11.) 2...

1.35.35 .35.25 .3 .4 .35.51 Microgen On Ide.

.34 .3 .31. 151. 13.10.191 .2 .3 .2 .22 . 47 .47

.621.30 .37

.251
Mid-Atlantic Area Councu

.241.1.3.35.37
1
I
1

1
Total Carbon.
Carbon Dioxide.

114.00 34.36 2.17 34.015.70 35.67 35.26 14.30135.69 19.72 11.17 35.114.62 41.16 31.66 )S.18.2) 44.16 12.49 17.14
sulfur dioxide.

1136.4 125.0 136.0 124.000.) 10,6 129.2 125.145.S 145.6 140.7 12.1152.6 15). 146. 170.0165.6 102.7 155. I 136.7 . .SS

.721 .6 .SO .60 .57

.50 .56

.571 .82
Nitrogen Oxide.

.57
. .29 .25 .39 .291 .20

.271 30 .Jo .20 .261 JL

.21 .25)

.33 . 10 .27
Mid-America Taterconnected Ret!

1
Total Carbon.
Carbon Dioxide.

140.07 01.00 40.5 40.7714.96 12.6 11.05 38.97167,70 (s. 11.00 JS.150.20 4.16 13.72 9.20 52.30 50.50 +4.22 37.36
Bultur Dloride.

... 1.00 1.01 .01 .77 1249.. 150.. 150.) 149.516). 186.2 151.6 140.71276.9 166.6 113.6 121.51114.1 176,7 114.6 13.291.6 105.3 192.1 DI..

.72 74
AS AS
.711.61.62 .70 .121.57 .SI

.99
Nitrogen Oude..

$2
.521.82 .So
.451..54 ..52

.36 $
6.54

.361.55 .$7.40 ..7
Mid. Continent Area Power Pool

1
Total Carbon.
Carbon Dioxide.

132.6 33.66 32. 32.1797.10 37.19 37.45 3.11.os 11.4 16.7 22.0443.10 0.9 20.39 34.25142.13 01.06 .06 14.20
ultur Dioxide,

1.6 113.6 113.6 111.. 136.0 336. 137.3 120.142.5 141.3 134.9 111.51 159.7 150.2 340.. 135.118.5 19. a 20.3 123.7

1.02 .12 Nitrogen Oxide.

.411.44 4.46 .al .03 .0 .1 .271 .43.13 .33,371 .4 .4 .36.JS .

.J41 .45

.41 .)$1.46
Portheast Power Council/New York

1
Total Carbon...
arbon Dioxide.

13.50 11.56 1.4 12.46113.1 13.03 13.19 22.59|14. 12.97 0.07 T1, 06115.26 35.1 16.10 12.110.16 36.)) as." 17.)

03.51 4.7) 9.6 9.344.06 4.00 4.36 46.01151.41.21 47.91 0.455.97 6.73 $1.9 17.158.26 $9.07 $0.44 0.9 uitur Dionide.

.24

.24.241.30.20.21.201 .19.19 Nitrogen Onice.

.26.201.17.16.12.10

.16 .12

.16 .15 .17 .11 .11 .22.09

.01.09 .07 .061

.07 .071. . . 10 Northeast Power Council/Neving!

1

1
tocol Qurbon.
Carbon Dioxide.

111.59 11.59 19.50 11.50114.59 14.50 14.50 16.1914.97 15.00 14.61 11.76114.95 14.) D.u 1.1s.so 15.45 14.25 12.34
sul for Dion de

.10 112.50 12.53 12.45 13.165.41 $3.01 3.46 52.00 54.90 54.) .51 0.12154.0 5.0 50.11 12.2016.IS SG. 52.35 45.36 .101.20 . 20 20 .131 .17 .10

.101

.16 Ntrogen Oxide.

.15

. 15 .10 10 10.10 101 11 11 11

11 10
debere.d012121

n
. Tar Reference Demand Technology_fero05.00112213 (22 fe 039, do 12 lee100.00127240 (0)

INIROY 1 ITO, INATION ADMINISTRATI

1 Toul Carbon arbon Dioxide.

las

1.10 1.00 1.22 1.24 1.31 1.05
Total Carton..
carbon Dioxide.

15.12 3.75 58.7) 99.JS1s. . 62. 63.375.41 67.4 62.74 54.31 10.22 6.36 62.28 $6.5"|72.9 73.73 6.40 56.3
sullwr Dionide.

.59 .39.501.6 86.54 .00 .69 .60 .70 .70 .67 .661 .71 .70 .62 .SA! .69 . .57

.22

107.9 29.16 77.9 37.91 10.2 30.22 21.45 20.6001.90 12.00 10.00 25.69133.10 32.57 3.4 26.0.14.21 3.71 30.35 3.95 ultur Dionul de.

1103.6 103.3 102.6 103.jan. uo.6 100.0 104.91117.1 116.6 130.0 4.9121.4 119.4 111.5 5.63|125.4 123.1 111.3 11.45 .22 .21.24 .311

.35 .14
.30.30 .301 .31 .32

.32 .20 .22
1
Total arbos..
Carbon Dioxide.

.06.071 .00 .00 .00 .07 Nitrogea onde

.22 .201 .JS . .20 .21 1 IAT 19 L

MILO ALINIROL NODILUSISIE Table 62. Masalan, by VORC Region (aulloa short towa) (Continued)

sogt Carton and carbon Dioxide nt li lonec con

ܐܠܢܠܙ

12000 2000 2008 2009 2008 2009 2005 2005 12010 2010 2010 2010 (2015 2013 2015 10 12

2015 (2030 2070 2020 2020

0 0 OTO 0 outheastea nectric/Plarida

(21

0 10 3)
Total Carbon...
Orbon sianide...

124.46 36.33 20.28 *.12130.ss 29.97 21.09 27.22132.5 32.13 29.5 25.19119.72 34.06 11.0 17.04|41.57 41.4 13.27 20.45
Sulius Dioulde

.60 .31 36 .51 197.09 3.5$ 96.24 %5.761112.0 109.) 101.699.01120.2 117.1 106.5 92.37|VI.) 133.2 113.2 9.1|139.7 351.) 123.0 305..

.JS .37

.241 .37 .31 .271

.30 .33 Nitrogen Onde

.261.00

.34
.29 .23
.201.J2

.201
.32 .20 .240 J7 .35

.281.00

.30
Toutheasten Blectric/biel na

1
Total Carbos.
Carbon Dioxide.

1304.. 105.6 105.3 304.1/112.5 114.6 113.2 111.31120.6 122.2 116.4 103.81130.) 19.6 120.4 10.1|139.6 100.0 126.. 112.3
Suline Dioxide.

1101.) 10.. 309.) 201..1413.. 411.. 425.0 400.0*42.) 407.5 .6 179.31450. 471.7 441.6 19.01097.6 506.. 461.1 41.3

3.64 3.24 3.24 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.21 2.25 2.3 2.12
Nitrogta Ora de

2.36 1.521 2.66 1. JO 2.14 3.74 2.74 2.34 3.05 2.67
1.06 1.01 1.01 1.071 2.12 1.13 1.4 1.11.17 1.17 1.11 1.04 1.24 1.21
loutbeeot Power Tool

.60
1219.2 2.3 213.. 237.61200:4 21.4 221.5 225.250.1 249.1 230.0 1.21257.5 255.2 220.2 200.61267.5 26).. 242.. 206.4

.601 .64 .651

.63 .56
Nitrogea ordde.

.70
testean syoto council

Total Carton..
Carbon Dioxide.

124.0 74.73 24.76 2. u 20.20 20.10 27.07 24.92129.74 29.05 30.91 75.77121.21 1.1 3.12 26.7133.57 32.66 9.os 26.23
sultu Dioulde.

191.07 50.69 9.7 9. 103.4 100.0 103.3 106.0|105.1 109.5 106. 9.50|114.6 116.1 11.5 9.171119.4 116.9 103.6 %.30

.16 .161 .15 .16 .IS .15| .10 .10 Nitrogen Oride.

.12 .201 . 12 .12
.20

.22
.24 .24 .241 .26 .24 .24 .251.25 .25

.21.26 26 .25

.26 .25
rester System Council

1
Total Carbon..
Carbon Dioxide.

.20
.20
. 201

.10 .10 .171.16 .16 .26 Nitrogen aulde.

.38 .16

.29 .31 .31
.251 .32

.241 .12
Teater System Council/aw

122.07 22.9 23.97 22.47123. na.sa 31.59 16.72127.17 27.0 23.0 23.07135.12 35.09 37.65 23.0920.37 37.56 11.9 24.01
ultur Dlouce.

10.as 3.91 14.24 63.402.62 12.56 02.87 61.61 5.4 101.J 17.54 77.20131.9 120.1 101.4 ".0142.5 137.1 111.3 10.63 .00 .00 .06 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00

.00 .071 .00

. 10

.19 ,191 . 10 .10 .151.23 .24 :20 .101 .)2

1 Mobese, 1912 O TU Meronco De Peshneleg (1), (2.005.00172942031. fusese.d01779110 to 100.991204

III.OY INPORATION ADMINIO RATIO,

MODULINO
Tobe 112. Xestel lastelebe Clean Mr Metendoset of 1920 aWo)

Serubber Retrofits (gigawattal..

Laterregional 602 Allowances moded (thousand tone)

902 Milovance nice ..***.

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IN LLOY MODULEN LISTEN
Tabl. i. Total Inergy supply and Diaposition pary
fadslan fer Year. Dels Othera Noted)

1
Supply. Disposition, and Price. 2000 2000 2000 2006 2005 2005 2006 2005 2010 2011 2010 2010 12015 2015 2015 2015 (2020 2020 2020 2020
(3)

(2:0)

I
Toduction

1
Crude Oil & Lease Condensat.. (13.06 13.09 13.01 D.0122.3) 12.26 12.26 12.261.00 11.51 11.67 11.12|11.07 10.49 30.37 30.210.33 5.60 9.05 1.39
Natural Gas Plant Liquid.... 2.39 2.35 2.36 2.36 2.6) 2.55 2.95 2.521 2.9) 3.16 3.13 3.13 3.20 3.25 1.10 1.JS 3.10 3.37 2.07
Dary Natural cos..

. 120. as 20.57 20.69 20.121.03 33.21 22.15 71.95a5.30 27.10 26.4 26.09|26.72 27.75 20.5 21.120.12 28.73 20.67 23.«
coal.

124.1 24.11 29 24.0225.52 24.15 34.00 23.91|26.50 18.1) 12.0 12.11|27.64 1.71 9.) 7.224.37 0.26 1.64 6.34 Nuclear Power.

. 1 1.16 1.36 7.36 1.061 6.6 6.57 6.57 6.071 6.366.36 6.366.361 9.12 5.12 5.12 5.12 4.0 4.09 4.00 0.00 Rer able they

16.02 6.06 6.9 6.971 7.11 7.567.00 6.25 7.4 5.30 10.40 11.271 7.06 11.17 13.50 14.471 0.1) 12.70 14.76 16.46 oeder ...

.541.41.56.0.601 64 1.20 1.25 1.11.09 1.32 1.22 1.14 Total

179.36 76.0 74.1 74.90177.44 76.14 76.16 18.350.79 7.25 71.56 70.67|62.33 12.77 10.11 70.500.23 73.14 71.24 70.33

1.72 1.12 1.72 1.11 1.6 1.66 1.37 1.16 1.6 1.s1.09 1.44 1.54 1.12 1.31 .20 .20 .20 .20 .201 .29 .29 .27

.JO

. .30 .30 .32 .)2 .32 .32
2.01 2.41 3.41 3.411 2.64 2.64 2.60 2.64 2.14 2.04 2.14 2.36 3.05 J. 3.00 3.00 3.23 3.31 3.23 3.23
4.40 4.40 4.65 4.60 C. $4 4.61 4.91 0.01 4.59 4.50 5.3 5.0

4.421 9.70 9.05 0.97 0.16

ܢܘ..

..041

.17

..27

..201 .. 09

.01

.osi - .07 ..25., 1) ..12

20.37 31.25 38.28 0.28|u. 40.67 40.62 40.6144.37 41.10 40.46 40.05 146.21 12.07 (1.34 $0.72147.69 42.37 41.9 0.37 Natural Gas

124.76 24.4 24.56 2.5o|26. 26.226.24 26.01123.57 0.0 3.65 11.581.32 32.0 3.30 3.661.o. 14.06 36.06 s. 1 Coal.....

121.17 21.91 21.71 21.10 p.al 21.7$ 31.21.55127.91 12.54 10.26 .0124.17 11.03 .sl 4.78|23.40 10.30 5.70 3.12 Nuclear Power.

1.36 7.36 1.36 7.30 6.07 6.07 6.07 6.671 6.36 6.36 6.3$ 6.361 3.12 9.12 12 5.12 4.09 4.09 Rene table Berg

6.16 6.4 6.97 7.12 7.56 7.0 1.291 7.0 9.40 10.42 11.20 1.00 11.20 13.52 14.091 1.22 12.12 14.79 16.19 other ..

.71

1.09
Tota).

9.3 9.3 99.4/105.6 101.5 107.9 103.71112.0 101.) 160.0 1.01 (115.10).0 100.7 9..10.. 104.) 102.5 101..
Net laporti • Petrolewa 21.44 21.91 21.4 21.01as... as. x 38.11 25.32170,97 26.07 25.11 21.907.30 27.10 26.40 25.700w.a6 20.6 27.92 27.32

I
Prices (1996 dollars per walt)
World on rilee ($ per sbl) ... 10.12 13.0 13.00 19.08 120.25 39.75 19.75 13.7620.80 11.77 10.0 10.10121.17 11.10 17.99 17.11|21.01 11.56 13.24 19.17
das WeUbead Price $ Net)... | 2.1 2.11 1.13 2.12 2.15 3.es 3.05 3.1 2.26 2.5 2.65 2.60 3.22 3.9 2.9 3.1 3.43 2. 2.96 9.00
Coul Minesouth Price $ / ton). 117.17.39 11.14 17.20 16.00 16.10 16.14 16.17|14.07 16.79 17.56 10.41|13.01 13.0 17.75 11.5|13.30 15.57 17.0) 16.3
Aver. Neetricsty (custo / Inha) 6.5 6.5 6.5

1.56 .56.561.SS

Iport:

Crude Oja
Potrolova producto
Watural Gas
Other la ports

Toual.

Srports

Petroleum
Natural car
acal...

Total

1.73 1.73 1.72 3.7 1.73 .20 . 20

Discrepancy

Consumpt!on

1
Petroles Products

6.52

.4 .03 .37 . .17 .37 .371 .65 .00 1.001.11

.67 1.011

6.21 6.0 1.76 10.31 5.6 1.5 .. 9.31 S.S nabare.912170 . 9 To Relarence Dean Technology falso, d0122901121. fee200.0012294_1221 oc250 do1222 10

ENBROY INFORMATION ADMINISTLATION

ATLOIAL III.91 MODEL IN SYLIIN

Tablo 17. aachon tai salons by Sector and Source
1 Moris tone for YANI Unlen ochania Hotel

1
1 2000 2000 2000 2000 2005 2005 2005 2005 2010 2010 2010 2010 2014 2015 2014 2015 (2020 2020 2021 2070
(2)
111

(2) (1)

OL

1
i as.. 23.1 23.7 25.71 25.0 24.6 e.. 24.01 20.1 22.4 31.. 21.21 24.6 22.2 21.5 20.9| 24J 71.7 21.1 20.6
.1 77.0 76.. 16. 76.01 70.7 70. 70.2 73.5| 91.) 71.) 69.1 67.91 14.0 72.6 70.8 6.71 3.1 74.5 72.0 69.)
11.4
1.6 1.41 3.4 1.0 1. 1.01 1.4

1.2
1201.) 19.1 197.6 197.25. 201.4 200.1 19.5(229.. 145.1 121.) 114.51241.3 160.. 109.) 9.61265.. 142. 100.1 0.1
Isos.s 102.6 pol.>01.01120.7 105.9 304.5 103.2117.) 240.7 720.2 104.91057.236.3 11.2 114.4n.s 240.) 102.4 103.7

1.3

Converein

Retroleum
Natural Co.
Cou)....
Nectricity

Total

Sector and Source

Residential

Potroleum
Natural Gas
coul.....
Blectricity

Tocol..

1.3 1.)11.) 1.)

1.21 1.2

Industrial ..

retrolov.
Natural Gas
Coa).....
Nectricity

Total..

100.3 103.6 113.6 103.6109.6 107.9 107.9 107.31.4 101 a 100.5 104.113.6 100.1 101.2 10.djus.) 10.1 16.2 107.5
is.s 156.0 144.. 154..jaso.. 153.6 151.7 153.115... 151. 140.3 105.4/141.0 14.0 146. 142.5|17.9 10.5 1.6 11.1

60.6 $9.4 89.4 89.4 62.) 57.) 57. 61. 6.7 6.5 17.5 *6..1 0.6 46.5 45.5 4.01 6.6 43.5 0.3 12.6
107.5 iM., 17., 14.31200.0 12.0 190.6 100.215.0 154.4 134.7 120.0120.5 346.2 109.6 97.2209.4 4.3 1... ...
ISO6.. 31.a soo.) so..703.S 1.. sor.4 507.31561.2 461.5 05.1 417.01573.9 41.7 400.5 393.150.) 4.3 103.4 191.1

Transportation

Petroleu
Natural Gas
Othet
Hectricity.

Total..

302.7 502.7 502.3 so3.js2.7 54.6 4.) $45.21600.6 561.3 $52., 541.62.1 562.) SSo.6 $40.9140.. 577., 543.6 $14..
12.1 13.6 13.6 12.01 1.5 14.4 14.4 14.21 17.2 11.4 11.2 11.01 10.) 10.6 10.5 11.6 1.7 19.7 20.2 203

.S os .5 1.6 1.3 1.1 1.31 7.3 2. 1. 1.01 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.)
3.3 1.1 5.2 3.21 5. 5.0 5.7 $.71 1.1 6.. $.3 4.7) 19.7 6.7

4.12.2 7.2 9.4 .5
isso.2 97.5 $11.5 07.sisn.6 $70.) 570.0 569.61627.9 sos.1 576.7 56.916s.. say.7 57.3 Sos..ju.6 407.3 59.6 soi..

Total arbon towalone

Petroleu.
Natural Ose
Coal....
Our
Blectricity.

total..

164.5 63.3 0.2 63.31100.1 69.9 67.1 694.0/753.6 70). 1691.6 678.71704.0 704.) 6.5 612.31.o.1 73.2 764.7 694.5
29.5 29.6 292.) 192.. Da.) 297.4 27.6 297.600.6 290.5 214.4 271.61325. 2.) 24.3 770.42.233.0 209.29.4
4.3 0.6 0.6 0.0166.8 61.6 1.6 1.59 4.5 52.2 51.2 50.5! 6.5 so. l 49.3 a.s! «.5 67.1 46.5 46.4
.1

:31
.S .5 .51 1.4 1] 1.) 1.21 1.2 2. 1.)

1.01 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.) 1574.1 567.) 564.5 565.3917.) SOJ.: 979.) 574.2165.7 07.3 112.5 13.0 14.0 113.6 16.5 277.71793.3 116.1 11.) 260.)

157 154 154 15641900 160 161 1620 1600 1034 1411 1350 1001 1465 1841 1209| 1941 1477 1956 1253

Nectric Generators ..

Petroleu
Natural Gas
Coul

Total.

11.2 20.) 10.6 10.71 9.3

..) 6.71 0.2

Total carbon boulon

Petrolewe
Natural dos
Coal.
aher ..

total

arbon dion (tone per person)