The Honorable Jennings Randolph July 3, 1975 At the present time, it takes approximately three (2) Being unsuccessful to obtain relief in the above areas, the only areas left open to industry are the installation of flue gas scrubber systems which are still unproven, expensive and unreliable, the purchase of low sulfur western coal or the purchase of low sulfur coal produced in foreign markets. When we speak of western coal, we must be concerned with If we must rely more heavily on foreign coal, our nation's balance of trade will be adversely affected to the point where it will be in as much trouble as it presently is with our large imports of foreign oil. (3) When we consider coal conversion, coal substitution, and coal allocation, we must be cognizant of several factors: a. While there might be those who disagree with us, it The Honorable Jennings Randolph b. C. July 3, 1975 the units presently under order were converted At the present time, each state, and in many cases In this regard, we feel we do a fairly good job of Last, but far from least, all coal will not burn in The Honorable Jennings Randolph July 3, 1975 at least have all of the above specifications Suffice it to say that literally volumes could be written in response to the committee's 40 questions and their several subdivisions. However, in our particular case, we have only tried to point out a few of the aspects that directly concern us and emphasize our belief that a strong National Energy Policy should be agreed upon before legislation of this nature is enacted into law. We appreciate the opportunity to comment on the committee's questions and hope that our remarks will be helpful in its deliberations. Sincerely yours, Jessed Vogtle Jesse S. Vogtle Senior Vice President JSV: hrj This responds to your letter of June 13, 1975, inviting the American The members of the ABMA are vitally interested in S.1777 because it - Electric powerplant units representing 100,000 megawatts of capacity now burning oil or gas would by 1985 have to burn coal. Most of these units cannot be converted and will have to be replaced. For this electric power generating capacity to become capable of burning coal (by replacement and where feasible by conversion) would cost an estimated 30 billion dollars if there were steam generating equipment manufacturing capacity available to undertake the task. That manufacturing capacity does not exist and if it were to be created solely for a one-time, short-term, massive increase in demand, the capital and operating costs would likely result in electric generating equipment costs far exceeding 30 billion dollars. About 42,000 steam generating units in 17,000 plants other than electric powerplants would have to be replaced because they cannot feasibly burn coal. These units include those in a variety of industries such as paper, steel, rubber, petroleum refining, and many thousands in hospitals, schools, government buildings, greenhouses, office buildings, commercial buildings and apartment complexes. The replacement costs by 1985 for all 42,000 units assuming the manufacturing capacity existed to meet such a demand, would be 68 billion dollars. The amount of oil and gas consumption directly avoided would be about 3.2 million barrels per day. If only the 300 largest installations, (containing 400 units) i. e. those in excess of 300 million Btu's per hour heat input, were required to be replaced, the capital cost would be $11 billion and the oil and gas consumption directly avoided would be 1.6 million barrels per day. The $57 billion replacement costs for the 41,600 other units would achieve an oil and gas savings of 600,000 barrels per day, or a barrel per day saving purchased at a price of $68,000. An undetermined, but quite large proportion of the plants for the 42,000 units affected could not use coal in any event, because of lack of space and access, pollution control considerations, and other impediments. The alternatives in many cases would be prohibitively expensive. The use of electricity, to the extent that it may be an alternative, would cause a greater total energy consumption to perform tasks that otherwise would be performed by oil or gas fired steam. Some of the facts mentioned above, and others arrayed in the enclosed memorandum, strongly suggest that members of the ABMA do not possess the vast manufacturing and financial capabilities which would be required if the deadlines of S.1777 were imposed. We are not pleased that this is the conclusion which the facts dictate, but we would not wish to provide your Committee with an unrealistically optimistic report. In concluding, we wish to express our appreciation for your having invited our comments. We are particularly pleased that the Committee's hearings on S.1777 were begun and have been completed so soon after the bill was introduced, because any delay in the consideration of coal conversion measures can only aggravate the uncertainty which already hangs over the marketplace and delays the making of decisions on orders for new and replacement steam generating equipment. We hope that further Congressional deliberations will also be conducted with a view to minimizing the impact of uncertainty on our industry, which like many others in the capital goods sector, is feeling the effects of recession. Sincerely yours, William B. Marx William B. Marx M. H. Jackson W. H. Jackson пречиет WBM/pm |