World Agriculture: Towards 2015/2030 : an FAO Perspective

Front Cover
Jelle Bruinsma
Earthscan, 2003 - 432 pages

This report is FAO's latest assessment of the long-term outlook for the world's food supplies, nutrition and agriculture. It presents the projections and the main messages. The projections cover supply and demand for the major agricultural commodities and sectors, including fisheries and forestry. This analysis forms the basis for a more detailed examination of other factors, such as nutrition and undernourishment, and the implications for international trade. The report also investigates the implications of future supply and demand for the natural resource base and discusses how technology can contribute to more sustainable development.

One of the report's main findings is that, if no corrective action is taken, the target set by the World Food Summit in 1996 (that of halving the number of undernourished people by 2015) is not going to be met. Nothing short of a massive effort at improving the overall development performance will free the developing world of its most pressing food insecurity problems. The progress made towards this target depends on many factors, not least of which are political will and the mobilization of additional resources. Past experience underlines the crucial role of agriculture in the development process, particularly where the majority of the population still depends on this sector for employment and income.

 

Contents

Boxes
2
Prospects for food and nutrition
29
2
53
Prospects for aggregate agriculture and major
57
Cereal balances by developing regions all cereals wheat rice milled
68
20
105
22
111
1
122
2 Domestic support expenditures 1996 US million
244
1
245
Globalization in food and agriculture
265
1 Regional distribution of FDI inflows and outflows billion US
273
1
289
3 Twoway trade in food and agriculture by region
293
Selected issues in agricultural technology
297
1
298

Crop production and natural resource
124
7
129
1
141
13 Average wheat and rice yields for selected country groups
146
Livestock production
158
1 Annual growth rates of total livestock production
161
Forestry
177
1 Global forestry at a glance 2000
178
1
206
Agriculture in poverty alleviation and economic development
212
1 Millennium Development Goals MDGs
213
4 Nonfarm shares in total rural income and employment
228
Agricultural trade trade policies and the global food system
232
3 A selection of commercially available and important GMOS
317
2
323
changing pressures solutions
331
1 Agricultures contribution to global greenhouse gas and other emissions
334
physical and human dimensions
357
1 Estimated gross carbon sequestration per year by cropland soils
360
1
370
Appendixes
373
Statistical tables
383
References
409
Acronyms
430
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