ROAD FROM KYOTO, PART III:
STATE DEPARTMENT OVERVIEW

HEARING

BEFORE THE

COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE

HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES

ONE HUNDRED FIFTH CONGRESS

For sale by the U.S. Government Printing Office

Superintendent of Documents, Congressional Sales Office, Washington, DC 20402

COMMITTEE ON SCIENCE

F. JAMES SENSENBRENNER, JR. Wisconsin, Chairman

SHERWOOD L. BOEHLERT, New York
HARRIS W. FAWELL, Illinois

CONSTANCE A. MORELLA, Maryland
CURT WELDON, Pennsylvania
DANA ROHRABACHER, California
JOE BARTON, Texas

GEORGE E. BROWN, JR., California*
RALPH M. HALL, Texas

BART GORDON, Tennessee

JAMES A. TRAFFICANT, JR., Ohio
TIM ROEMER, Indiana

JAMES A. BARCIA, Michigan

EDDIE BERNICE JOHNSON, Texas

ALCEE L. HASTINGS, Florida
LYNN N. RIVERS, Michigan

ZOE LOFGREN, California

MICHAEL F. DOYLE, Pennsylvania
SHEILA JACKSON-LEE, Texas
BILL LUTHER, Minnesota
DEBBIE STABENOW, Michigan

BOB ETHERIDGE, North Carolina
NICK LAMPSON, Texas
DARLENE HOOLEY, Oregon
LOIS CAPPS, California
BARBARA LEE, California
BRAD SHERMAN, California
Vacancy

+ Vice Chairman.

TODD R. SCHULTZ, Chief of Staff

BARRY C. BERINGER, Chief Counsel

ROBERT E. PALMER, Democratic Staff Director

VIVIAN A. TESSIERI, Legislative Clerk

*Ranking Minority Member.

(See "History of Appointments" for further information concerning Membership on the Committee on Science.)

CONTENTS

WITNESSES

March 5, 1998: The Road from Kyoto-Part 3: State Department Overview

Opening Statement by Representative F. James Sensenbrenner, Jr. (WI-
9), Chairman, Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives
Opening Statement by Representative George E. Brown, Jr. (CA-42),
Ranking Minority Member, Committee on Science, U.S. House of Rep-
resentatives

Opening Statement by Representative Sheila Jackson Lee (TX-18)

Opening Statement by Representative Eddie Bernice Johnson (TX-30)

Opening Statement by Representative Tim Roemer (IN-3)

The Honorable Stuart E. Eizenstat, Under Secretary of State for Eco-

nomic, Business and Agricultural Affairs, U.S. Department of State,

Washington, DC

Oral Testimony

Prepared Testimony

Biography

Discussion

Changes in the Kyoto Protocol Necessary So the President Can Sign

and the Senate Can Ratify

When Is the Administration Willing to Walk Away from the Protocol

and Declare It Fatally Flawed?

Timing of Administration Signing of the Protocol

What Happens if the U.S. Does Not Sign the Protocol by March

15, 1999?

U.S. Successes at Kyoto

Meaning of "Meaningful Participation"

Key Developing Country Participants and China

Signs of Success

Evidence of Global Warming and Meaning of "Discernible Human

Influence"

Potential Problems of Global Warming and Allocation of FY 1999

Budget Funds

...........

Emissions Trading

Costs of Kyoto Protocol

Costs of Kyoto Protocol To Maryland

Impact of Kyoto Protocol on National Sovereignty

Kyoto Protocol and Role of UN Relative to U.S. Economic Growth

and Foreign Policy

Kyoto Protocol Impact on U.S. Military Missions or National Secu-

rity

Consequences of Failure to Meet Kyoto Protocol Targets

How Do We Know CO2 Causes Global Warming?

How Do We Know That We Are Truly Warming Rather Than Head-

ing Into an Ice Age?

Why Wouldn't We Be Happy With a Modest CO2 Increase?

Economic Impact of Kyoto Protocol on Pennsylvania

Mexico's and Other Developing Countries' Willingness to Participate

in and Share in the Regulatory Burdens

Separating Facts From Conclusions

Are the Global Climate Effects Good or Bad?

Exclusion of Developing Countries from Kyoto Protocol Require-

ments

Ability to Amend the Kyoto Protocol