Scientific Integrity and Public Trust: The Science Behind Federal Policies and Mandates : Case Study 2--climate Models and Projections of Potential Impacts of Global Climate Change : Hearing Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Environment of the Committee on Science, U.S. House of Representatives, One Hundred Fourth Congress, First Session, November 16, 1995, Volume 4U.S. Government Printing Office, 1996 - 1190 pages |
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Page 12
... mean that there is no plausible alternative . In effect , the bet is off the books . Very probable means I estimate a nine out of ten chance that this will happen within the range predicted . When I label something uncertain , I mean ...
... mean that there is no plausible alternative . In effect , the bet is off the books . Very probable means I estimate a nine out of ten chance that this will happen within the range predicted . When I label something uncertain , I mean ...
Page 13
... mean that there is a plau- sible effect but it lacks appropriate scientific evidence . Essentially I set the odds ... mean surface warming : very probable . For the mid- dle of the next century , global - mean surface warming is ...
... mean that there is a plau- sible effect but it lacks appropriate scientific evidence . Essentially I set the odds ... mean surface warming : very probable . For the mid- dle of the next century , global - mean surface warming is ...
Page 18
... mean that there is no plausible alternative ; in effect , the bet is off the books . " Very Probable " means I estimate about a 9 out of 10 chance that this will happen within the range predicted ; " Probable " implies about a 2 out of ...
... mean that there is no plausible alternative ; in effect , the bet is off the books . " Very Probable " means I estimate about a 9 out of 10 chance that this will happen within the range predicted ; " Probable " implies about a 2 out of ...
Page 20
... Mean Surface Warming ( Very Probable ) For the middle of the next century , global - mean surface warming is estimated to be in the range of 2 to 6 ° fahrenheit . The largest uncertainty is due to the effects of clouds . My own opinion ...
... Mean Surface Warming ( Very Probable ) For the middle of the next century , global - mean surface warming is estimated to be in the range of 2 to 6 ° fahrenheit . The largest uncertainty is due to the effects of clouds . My own opinion ...
Page 21
... Mean Sea Level ( Very Probable ) A further rise of 4-12 inches in mean sea level by the year 2050 is estimated due to thermal expansion of warmer sea water . Continued sea level rise is expected for many centuries , probably to much ...
... Mean Sea Level ( Very Probable ) A further rise of 4-12 inches in mean sea level by the year 2050 is estimated due to thermal expansion of warmer sea water . Continued sea level rise is expected for many centuries , probably to much ...
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activities adaptation aerosols AGBM agricultural analysis anthropogenic areas assumptions atmosphere baseline biomass bottom-up carbon dioxide carbon sequestration carbon tax climate change climate models climate system CO₂ emissions concentrations Convention cost-effective costs Dana Rohrabacher decades developing countries economic ecosystems effects emission reduction energy efficiency environmental estimates expected factors forest forestry fossil fuels future gases Gigagrams Global Change global climate global warming greenhouse gas emissions growth human impacts implementation important improved increase industrial inventory IPCC IPCC Working Group issues land methane mitigation ocean OECD options Panel Parties policies and measures potential predictions production projections radiative forcing range reduce emissions regional response ROHRABACHER SBSTA scenarios Science scientific sea level rise Second Assessment Report secretariat sector simulations studies Summary for Policymakers Table technical technologies temperature top-down transportation uncertainties understanding United USGCRP