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APPENDIX 1: Materials Submitted for the Record

SR/OIAF/99-01

Analysis of

The Climate Change
Technology Initiative

Aprii 1999

Energy Information Administration
Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting
U.S. Department of Energy
Washington, DC 20585

This report was prepared by the Energy Information Administration, the independent statistical and analytical agency within the Department of Energy. The information contained herein should be attributed to the Energy Information Administration and should not be construed as advocating or reflecting any policy position of the Department of Energy or of any other organization. Service Reports are prepared by the Energy Information Administration upon special request and are based on assumptions specified by the requester.

Contacts

This report was prepared by the staff of the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting of the Energy Information Administration. General questions concerning the report can be directed to Mary J. Hutzler (202/586-2222, mhutzler@eia.doe.gov), Director of the Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting: Susan H. Holte (202/586-4838. sholte eia.doe.gov), Director of the Demand and Integration Division; James M. Kendell (202/586-9646, jkendell@eia.doe.gov), Director of the Oil and Gas Division: Scott B. Sitzer (202/586-2308, ssitzer@eia.doe.gov). Director of the Coal and Electric Power Division; and Andy S. Kydes (202/586-2222, akydes@eia.doe.gov), Senior Modeling Analyst. Specific questions about the report may be directed to the following analysts:

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Preface

In February 1999, the Administration sent its fiscal year 2000 budget request to the U.S. Congress. It includes more than $4 billion in programs related to climate change. Nearly $1.8 billion of the funding is proposed for tax incentives, research and development, and other spending for the Climate Change Technology Initiative (CCTI). CCTI includes tax credits to serve as incentives for energy efficiency improvements and renewable technologies for buildings, light-duty vehicles, industry, and electricity generation. Other funding covers research, development, and deployment for energy-efficient and renewable technologies, more efficient generating technologies, and carbon sequestration research.

The analysis in this report was undertaken at the request of the Committee on Science of the U.S. House of Representatives. In its request, the Committee asked the Energy Information Administration (EIA) to analyze "the impact of specific policies on the reduction of carbon emissions and their impact on U.S. energy use and prices... in the 2008-2012 time frame," as noted in the first letter in the Appendix. The second letter from the Committee specified that EIA "analyze the impact of the President's Climate Change Technology Initiative, as defined for the 2000 budget, on reducing carbon emissions from the levels forecast in the Annual Energy Outlook 1999 reference case." The projections and quantitative analysis in this report were conducted primarily using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), an energy-economy model of U.S. energy markets designed, developed, and maintained by EIA, which is used each year to provide the projections in the Annual Energy Outlook. Chapter 1 of this report provides background discussion of CCTI and the methodology of the analysis. Chapters 2, 3, and 4, respectively, analyze the impacts of the tax credits; research, development, and deployment programs; and funding for accelerated appliance standards proposed in CCTI.

The legislation that established EIA in 1977 vested the organization with an element of statutory independence. EIA does not take position on policy questions. It is the responsibility of EIA to provide timely, high quality information and to perform objective, credible analyses in support of the deliberations of both public and private decisionmakers. This report does not purport to represent the official position of the U.S. Department of Energy or the Administration.

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